Current forecasts from agencies like the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF place Helsinki’s August 11 maximum near 19°C, aligning with the market’s leading 36% probability on that outcome and 26.5% on 20°C. Differentiating these closely spaced results hinges on short-range variables including daytime insolation under variable cloud cover, southerly advection of warmer air masses versus stronger northerly flow, and boundary-layer mixing over the cool Baltic Sea. Mid-August climatology shows typical highs of 19–20°C, but model runs remain sensitive to small shifts in high-pressure positioning or frontal passages that could trim or add 1–2°C. Updated guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Helsinki on August 11?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on August 11?
19°C 37%
20°C 26%
18°C 16%
21°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 11, 2026
15°C or below
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
16%
19°C
37%
20°C
26%
21°C
12%
22°C
4%
23°C
3%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
19°C 37%
20°C 26%
18°C 16%
21°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 11, 2026
15°C or below
$17 ปริมาณ
1%
16°C
$35 ปริมาณ
2%
17°C
$7 ปริมาณ
4%
18°C
$183 ปริมาณ
16%
19°C
$47 ปริมาณ
37%
20°C
$38 ปริมาณ
26%
21°C
$215 ปริมาณ
12%
22°C
$37 ปริมาณ
4%
23°C
$22 ปริมาณ
3%
24°C
$17 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C or higher
$17 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies like the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF place Helsinki’s August 11 maximum near 19°C, aligning with the market’s leading 36% probability on that outcome and 26.5% on 20°C. Differentiating these closely spaced results hinges on short-range variables including daytime insolation under variable cloud cover, southerly advection of warmer air masses versus stronger northerly flow, and boundary-layer mixing over the cool Baltic Sea. Mid-August climatology shows typical highs of 19–20°C, but model runs remain sensitive to small shifts in high-pressure positioning or frontal passages that could trim or add 1–2°C. Updated guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$635วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies like the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF place Helsinki’s August 11 maximum near 19°C, aligning with the market’s leading 36% probability on that outcome and 26.5% on 20°C. Differentiating these closely spaced results hinges on short-range variables including daytime insolation under variable cloud cover, southerly advection of warmer air masses versus stronger northerly flow, and boundary-layer mixing over the cool Baltic Sea. Mid-August climatology shows typical highs of 19–20°C, but model runs remain sensitive to small shifts in high-pressure positioning or frontal passages that could trim or add 1–2°C. Updated guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$635วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from agencies like the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF place Helsinki’s August 11 maximum near 19°C, aligning with the market’s leading 36% probability on that outcome and 26.5% on 20°C. Differentiating these closely spaced results hinges on short-range variables including daytime insolation under variable cloud cover, southerly advection of warmer air masses versus stronger northerly flow, and boundary-layer mixing over the cool Baltic Sea. Mid-August climatology shows typical highs of 19–20°C, but model runs remain sensitive to small shifts in high-pressure positioning or frontal passages that could trim or add 1–2°C. Updated guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย