Recent model runs show notable divergence for Shenzhen’s peak temperature on August 11, with guidance split between partly sunny conditions favoring 35–36 °C and increased convective cloud cover or early thunderstorms capping readings near 34 °C. Subtropical monsoon humidity above 70 % and light easterly flow limit nocturnal cooling while the urban heat-island effect can add 1–2 °C locally relative to the 32–33 °C August climatology. Updated forecasts from regional meteorological centers and global ensembles will refine land-sea breeze timing and precipitation onset over the next 48 hours, keeping the 35 °C and 36 °C outcomes nearly tied as traders weigh the balance between radiative heating and afternoon storm potential.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 11?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 11?
35°C 31%
36°C 30%
34°C 18%
37°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 11, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
7%
34°C
18%
35°C
31%
36°C
30%
37°C
13%
38°C
5%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 31%
36°C 30%
34°C 18%
37°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 11, 2026
29°C or below
$298 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$79 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C
$22 ปริมาณ
1%
32°C
$43 ปริมาณ
2%
33°C
$15 ปริมาณ
7%
34°C
$76 ปริมาณ
18%
35°C
$53 ปริมาณ
31%
36°C
$99 ปริมาณ
30%
37°C
$26 ปริมาณ
13%
38°C
$178 ปริมาณ
5%
39°C or higher
$543 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs show notable divergence for Shenzhen’s peak temperature on August 11, with guidance split between partly sunny conditions favoring 35–36 °C and increased convective cloud cover or early thunderstorms capping readings near 34 °C. Subtropical monsoon humidity above 70 % and light easterly flow limit nocturnal cooling while the urban heat-island effect can add 1–2 °C locally relative to the 32–33 °C August climatology. Updated forecasts from regional meteorological centers and global ensembles will refine land-sea breeze timing and precipitation onset over the next 48 hours, keeping the 35 °C and 36 °C outcomes nearly tied as traders weigh the balance between radiative heating and afternoon storm potential.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 9, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,431วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 9, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs show notable divergence for Shenzhen’s peak temperature on August 11, with guidance split between partly sunny conditions favoring 35–36 °C and increased convective cloud cover or early thunderstorms capping readings near 34 °C. Subtropical monsoon humidity above 70 % and light easterly flow limit nocturnal cooling while the urban heat-island effect can add 1–2 °C locally relative to the 32–33 °C August climatology. Updated forecasts from regional meteorological centers and global ensembles will refine land-sea breeze timing and precipitation onset over the next 48 hours, keeping the 35 °C and 36 °C outcomes nearly tied as traders weigh the balance between radiative heating and afternoon storm potential.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,431วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 9, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs show notable divergence for Shenzhen’s peak temperature on August 11, with guidance split between partly sunny conditions favoring 35–36 °C and increased convective cloud cover or early thunderstorms capping readings near 34 °C. Subtropical monsoon humidity above 70 % and light easterly flow limit nocturnal cooling while the urban heat-island effect can add 1–2 °C locally relative to the 32–33 °C August climatology. Updated forecasts from regional meteorological centers and global ensembles will refine land-sea breeze timing and precipitation onset over the next 48 hours, keeping the 35 °C and 36 °C outcomes nearly tied as traders weigh the balance between radiative heating and afternoon storm potential.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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