Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs for Dallas-Fort Worth point to a sunny, hot pattern with highs centered near 100°F on August 9, supporting the tight 39% and 36.5% market-implied odds on 100–101°F versus 98–99°F. Seasonal high pressure maintains mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, limiting cloud cover that could cap temperatures while keeping heat indices elevated. Minor model spread arises from subtle differences in afternoon mixing depth and any isolated late-day convection, which could trim the peak by 1–2°F or allow it to reach the low 100s. Historical climatology places early-August Dallas maxima near 96–99°F, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly consistent with trader consensus around the century mark. Updated NWS forecasts tomorrow morning will provide the final observational calibration before market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Dallas on August 9?
Highest temperature in Dallas on August 9?
100-101°F 40%
98-99°F 37%
102-103°F 15%
96-97°F 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 9, 2026
93°F or below
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
6%
98-99°F
37%
100-101°F
40%
102-103°F
15%
104-105°F
4%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 40%
98-99°F 37%
102-103°F 15%
96-97°F 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 9, 2026
93°F or below
$10 ปริมาณ
<1%
94-95°F
$27 ปริมาณ
1%
96-97°F
$942 ปริมาณ
6%
98-99°F
$266 ปริมาณ
37%
100-101°F
$137 ปริมาณ
40%
102-103°F
$72 ปริมาณ
15%
104-105°F
$206 ปริมาณ
4%
106-107°F
$207 ปริมาณ
1%
108-109°F
$46 ปริมาณ
<1%
110-111°F
$38 ปริมาณ
<1%
112°F or higher
$434 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs for Dallas-Fort Worth point to a sunny, hot pattern with highs centered near 100°F on August 9, supporting the tight 39% and 36.5% market-implied odds on 100–101°F versus 98–99°F. Seasonal high pressure maintains mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, limiting cloud cover that could cap temperatures while keeping heat indices elevated. Minor model spread arises from subtle differences in afternoon mixing depth and any isolated late-day convection, which could trim the peak by 1–2°F or allow it to reach the low 100s. Historical climatology places early-August Dallas maxima near 96–99°F, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly consistent with trader consensus around the century mark. Updated NWS forecasts tomorrow morning will provide the final observational calibration before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 7, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,384วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs for Dallas-Fort Worth point to a sunny, hot pattern with highs centered near 100°F on August 9, supporting the tight 39% and 36.5% market-implied odds on 100–101°F versus 98–99°F. Seasonal high pressure maintains mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, limiting cloud cover that could cap temperatures while keeping heat indices elevated. Minor model spread arises from subtle differences in afternoon mixing depth and any isolated late-day convection, which could trim the peak by 1–2°F or allow it to reach the low 100s. Historical climatology places early-August Dallas maxima near 96–99°F, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly consistent with trader consensus around the century mark. Updated NWS forecasts tomorrow morning will provide the final observational calibration before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,384วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs for Dallas-Fort Worth point to a sunny, hot pattern with highs centered near 100°F on August 9, supporting the tight 39% and 36.5% market-implied odds on 100–101°F versus 98–99°F. Seasonal high pressure maintains mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, limiting cloud cover that could cap temperatures while keeping heat indices elevated. Minor model spread arises from subtle differences in afternoon mixing depth and any isolated late-day convection, which could trim the peak by 1–2°F or allow it to reach the low 100s. Historical climatology places early-August Dallas maxima near 96–99°F, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly consistent with trader consensus around the century mark. Updated NWS forecasts tomorrow morning will provide the final observational calibration before market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย