Japan Meteorological Agency seasonal outlooks for summer 2026 project above-normal temperatures nationwide due to a strengthened Pacific High, sustaining heat through mid-August after an intense July with multiple 40°C readings elsewhere in Japan. Short-term guidance points to partly cloudy skies over Tokyo on August 8, with daytime maxima aligning closely to the 33°C climatological normal and recent daily observations near that level. Model consensus and urban heat-island effects support this range, while humidity and limited cloud cover reduce downside risk for significantly cooler readings. Upcoming JMA daily updates and any late shifts in high-pressure positioning remain the key variables that could adjust implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 8?
33°C 48%
32°C 22%
34°C 16%
31°C 8%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
8%
32°C
22%
33°C
48%
34°C
16%
35°C
7%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 48%
32°C 22%
34°C 16%
31°C 8%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
8%
32°C
22%
33°C
48%
34°C
16%
35°C
7%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Japan Meteorological Agency seasonal outlooks for summer 2026 project above-normal temperatures nationwide due to a strengthened Pacific High, sustaining heat through mid-August after an intense July with multiple 40°C readings elsewhere in Japan. Short-term guidance points to partly cloudy skies over Tokyo on August 8, with daytime maxima aligning closely to the 33°C climatological normal and recent daily observations near that level. Model consensus and urban heat-island effects support this range, while humidity and limited cloud cover reduce downside risk for significantly cooler readings. Upcoming JMA daily updates and any late shifts in high-pressure positioning remain the key variables that could adjust implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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