Recent forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international agencies point to a peak temperature near 35°C in Busan on August 6 due to persistent influence from the North Pacific high-pressure system, which promotes subsidence, clear skies, and limited cloud cover that enhances daytime heating. This aligns with the market's strong 44.5% implied probability for 35°C, followed by 34°C and 36°C, reflecting typical mid-August conditions where coastal sea breezes moderate extremes but humidity sustains elevated heat indices. Historical baselines show August daytime highs averaging 29–31°C, yet current patterns indicate a positive temperature anomaly driven by warm advection and minimal precipitation chances. Traders are closely monitoring the final short-range updates for any shifts in steering flow or marine layer development that could cap or boost the maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Busan on August 6?
Highest temperature in Busan on August 6?
35°C 56%
34°C 24%
36°C 14%
33°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 6, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
7%
34°C
24%
35°C
56%
36°C
14%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
35°C 56%
34°C 24%
36°C 14%
33°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 6, 2026
30°C or below
$267 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$620 ปริมาณ
1%
32°C
$335 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C
$1,113 ปริมาณ
7%
34°C
$622 ปริมาณ
24%
35°C
$2,707 ปริมาณ
56%
36°C
$876 ปริมาณ
14%
37°C
$1,078 ปริมาณ
1%
38°C
$531 ปริมาณ
1%
39°C
$448 ปริมาณ
<1%
40°C or higher
$277 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international agencies point to a peak temperature near 35°C in Busan on August 6 due to persistent influence from the North Pacific high-pressure system, which promotes subsidence, clear skies, and limited cloud cover that enhances daytime heating. This aligns with the market's strong 44.5% implied probability for 35°C, followed by 34°C and 36°C, reflecting typical mid-August conditions where coastal sea breezes moderate extremes but humidity sustains elevated heat indices. Historical baselines show August daytime highs averaging 29–31°C, yet current patterns indicate a positive temperature anomaly driven by warm advection and minimal precipitation chances. Traders are closely monitoring the final short-range updates for any shifts in steering flow or marine layer development that could cap or boost the maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,068วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international agencies point to a peak temperature near 35°C in Busan on August 6 due to persistent influence from the North Pacific high-pressure system, which promotes subsidence, clear skies, and limited cloud cover that enhances daytime heating. This aligns with the market's strong 44.5% implied probability for 35°C, followed by 34°C and 36°C, reflecting typical mid-August conditions where coastal sea breezes moderate extremes but humidity sustains elevated heat indices. Historical baselines show August daytime highs averaging 29–31°C, yet current patterns indicate a positive temperature anomaly driven by warm advection and minimal precipitation chances. Traders are closely monitoring the final short-range updates for any shifts in steering flow or marine layer development that could cap or boost the maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,068วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international agencies point to a peak temperature near 35°C in Busan on August 6 due to persistent influence from the North Pacific high-pressure system, which promotes subsidence, clear skies, and limited cloud cover that enhances daytime heating. This aligns with the market's strong 44.5% implied probability for 35°C, followed by 34°C and 36°C, reflecting typical mid-August conditions where coastal sea breezes moderate extremes but humidity sustains elevated heat indices. Historical baselines show August daytime highs averaging 29–31°C, yet current patterns indicate a positive temperature anomaly driven by warm advection and minimal precipitation chances. Traders are closely monitoring the final short-range updates for any shifts in steering flow or marine layer development that could cap or boost the maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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