An upper-level ridge shifting inland is the main driver lifting implied odds for an 88–91°F high in Seattle on August 5, with National Weather Service guidance calling for sunny skies and highs near 86°F under strengthening offshore flow. Ensemble spread and typical marine-layer variability keep the 86–87°F and 90–91°F bins competitive, while historical early-August averages near 79°F underscore how ridging can add several degrees above climatology. Light north-northeast winds and minimal cloud cover favor the upper end of guidance, though any stronger onshore push could cap readings closer to 86°F. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and the warm seasonal outlook that favors above-normal temperatures through mid-month.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Seattle on August 5?
Highest temperature in Seattle on August 5?
88-89°F 39%
90-91°F 29%
86-87°F 24%
84-85°F 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 5, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
8%
86-87°F
24%
88-89°F
39%
90-91°F
29%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 39%
90-91°F 29%
86-87°F 24%
84-85°F 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 5, 2026
79°F or below
$99 ปริมาณ
<1%
80-81°F
$100 ปริมาณ
<1%
82-83°F
$816 ปริมาณ
2%
84-85°F
$219 ปริมาณ
8%
86-87°F
$520 ปริมาณ
24%
88-89°F
$158 ปริมาณ
39%
90-91°F
$861 ปริมาณ
29%
92-93°F
$394 ปริมาณ
3%
94-95°F
$54 ปริมาณ
<1%
96-97°F
$423 ปริมาณ
<1%
98°F or higher
$216 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.An upper-level ridge shifting inland is the main driver lifting implied odds for an 88–91°F high in Seattle on August 5, with National Weather Service guidance calling for sunny skies and highs near 86°F under strengthening offshore flow. Ensemble spread and typical marine-layer variability keep the 86–87°F and 90–91°F bins competitive, while historical early-August averages near 79°F underscore how ridging can add several degrees above climatology. Light north-northeast winds and minimal cloud cover favor the upper end of guidance, though any stronger onshore push could cap readings closer to 86°F. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and the warm seasonal outlook that favors above-normal temperatures through mid-month.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,860วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.An upper-level ridge shifting inland is the main driver lifting implied odds for an 88–91°F high in Seattle on August 5, with National Weather Service guidance calling for sunny skies and highs near 86°F under strengthening offshore flow. Ensemble spread and typical marine-layer variability keep the 86–87°F and 90–91°F bins competitive, while historical early-August averages near 79°F underscore how ridging can add several degrees above climatology. Light north-northeast winds and minimal cloud cover favor the upper end of guidance, though any stronger onshore push could cap readings closer to 86°F. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and the warm seasonal outlook that favors above-normal temperatures through mid-month.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,860วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...An upper-level ridge shifting inland is the main driver lifting implied odds for an 88–91°F high in Seattle on August 5, with National Weather Service guidance calling for sunny skies and highs near 86°F under strengthening offshore flow. Ensemble spread and typical marine-layer variability keep the 86–87°F and 90–91°F bins competitive, while historical early-August averages near 79°F underscore how ridging can add several degrees above climatology. Light north-northeast winds and minimal cloud cover favor the upper end of guidance, though any stronger onshore push could cap readings closer to 86°F. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and the warm seasonal outlook that favors above-normal temperatures through mid-month.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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