Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate unsettled monsoon conditions with showers and thunderstorms likely on August 4, 2026, introducing uncertainty around peak daytime heating. Subtropical humidity, South China Sea moisture influx, and cloud cover from convective activity typically moderate maximum temperatures by reducing solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling, favoring outcomes near 29–30°C. Historical August climatology shows average highs of 30–32°C, yet model consensus points to a narrow window where clearer intervals could allow brief spikes toward 31°C or rain suppression holding values at 28°C. Trader clustering around these levels reflects sensitivity to the latest numerical weather prediction runs and the narrow resolution thresholds, with limited upside from extreme heat given the timing within peak wet season patterns.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 4?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 4?
31°C 32%
29°C 30%
30°C 20%
28°C 17%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 4, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
6%
27°C
5%
28°C
17%
29°C
30%
30°C
20%
31°C
32%
32°C
7%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 32%
29°C 30%
30°C 20%
28°C 17%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 4, 2026
25°C or below
$10 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$22 ปริมาณ
6%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
28°C
$40 ปริมาณ
17%
29°C
$84 ปริมาณ
30%
30°C
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
31°C
$0 ปริมาณ
32%
32°C
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
33°C
$5 ปริมาณ
4%
34°C
$110 ปริมาณ
2%
35°C or higher
$110 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate unsettled monsoon conditions with showers and thunderstorms likely on August 4, 2026, introducing uncertainty around peak daytime heating. Subtropical humidity, South China Sea moisture influx, and cloud cover from convective activity typically moderate maximum temperatures by reducing solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling, favoring outcomes near 29–30°C. Historical August climatology shows average highs of 30–32°C, yet model consensus points to a narrow window where clearer intervals could allow brief spikes toward 31°C or rain suppression holding values at 28°C. Trader clustering around these levels reflects sensitivity to the latest numerical weather prediction runs and the narrow resolution thresholds, with limited upside from extreme heat given the timing within peak wet season patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$381วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate unsettled monsoon conditions with showers and thunderstorms likely on August 4, 2026, introducing uncertainty around peak daytime heating. Subtropical humidity, South China Sea moisture influx, and cloud cover from convective activity typically moderate maximum temperatures by reducing solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling, favoring outcomes near 29–30°C. Historical August climatology shows average highs of 30–32°C, yet model consensus points to a narrow window where clearer intervals could allow brief spikes toward 31°C or rain suppression holding values at 28°C. Trader clustering around these levels reflects sensitivity to the latest numerical weather prediction runs and the narrow resolution thresholds, with limited upside from extreme heat given the timing within peak wet season patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$381วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate unsettled monsoon conditions with showers and thunderstorms likely on August 4, 2026, introducing uncertainty around peak daytime heating. Subtropical humidity, South China Sea moisture influx, and cloud cover from convective activity typically moderate maximum temperatures by reducing solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling, favoring outcomes near 29–30°C. Historical August climatology shows average highs of 30–32°C, yet model consensus points to a narrow window where clearer intervals could allow brief spikes toward 31°C or rain suppression holding values at 28°C. Trader clustering around these levels reflects sensitivity to the latest numerical weather prediction runs and the narrow resolution thresholds, with limited upside from extreme heat given the timing within peak wet season patterns.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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