Recent numerical weather prediction runs from major models including GFS and ECMWF show maximum temperatures in Shanghai on August 4 clustering tightly between 34–35 °C, producing the near-even market split. Subtle differences hinge on afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island amplification amid persistently high humidity and weak steering flow typical of the East Asian monsoon. Recent days of above-normal heat have primed the surface for strong diurnal warming, while any increase in low-level moisture or thin cirrus could cap the peak at 34 °C; clearer skies would favor 35 °C. Updated model cycles and official Shanghai Meteorological Service guidance ahead of the date remain the key variables traders are monitoring.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 4?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 4?
34°C 37%
35°C 37%
33°C 16%
36°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 4, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
16%
34°C
37%
35°C
37%
36°C
10%
37°C
2%
38°C
4%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 37%
35°C 37%
33°C 16%
36°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 4, 2026
29°C or below
$41 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$104 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C
$69 ปริมาณ
2%
32°C
$203 ปริมาณ
3%
33°C
$647 ปริมาณ
16%
34°C
$228 ปริมาณ
37%
35°C
$772 ปริมาณ
37%
36°C
$117 ปริมาณ
10%
37°C
$58 ปริมาณ
2%
38°C
$125 ปริมาณ
4%
39°C or higher
$81 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from major models including GFS and ECMWF show maximum temperatures in Shanghai on August 4 clustering tightly between 34–35 °C, producing the near-even market split. Subtle differences hinge on afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island amplification amid persistently high humidity and weak steering flow typical of the East Asian monsoon. Recent days of above-normal heat have primed the surface for strong diurnal warming, while any increase in low-level moisture or thin cirrus could cap the peak at 34 °C; clearer skies would favor 35 °C. Updated model cycles and official Shanghai Meteorological Service guidance ahead of the date remain the key variables traders are monitoring.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,445วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from major models including GFS and ECMWF show maximum temperatures in Shanghai on August 4 clustering tightly between 34–35 °C, producing the near-even market split. Subtle differences hinge on afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island amplification amid persistently high humidity and weak steering flow typical of the East Asian monsoon. Recent days of above-normal heat have primed the surface for strong diurnal warming, while any increase in low-level moisture or thin cirrus could cap the peak at 34 °C; clearer skies would favor 35 °C. Updated model cycles and official Shanghai Meteorological Service guidance ahead of the date remain the key variables traders are monitoring.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,445วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction runs from major models including GFS and ECMWF show maximum temperatures in Shanghai on August 4 clustering tightly between 34–35 °C, producing the near-even market split. Subtle differences hinge on afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island amplification amid persistently high humidity and weak steering flow typical of the East Asian monsoon. Recent days of above-normal heat have primed the surface for strong diurnal warming, while any increase in low-level moisture or thin cirrus could cap the peak at 34 °C; clearer skies would favor 35 °C. Updated model cycles and official Shanghai Meteorological Service guidance ahead of the date remain the key variables traders are monitoring.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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