National Weather Service guidance for New York City on August 2 projects a high near 82°F under partly sunny skies with light southerly flow, placing the most likely outcome in the 82–83°F bin that leads trader consensus at 36%. This aligns with ensemble model runs showing modest warming from a stable air mass, tempered by variable afternoon cloud cover that can shave 1–2°F from peak readings. The closely bunched 84–85°F (33%) and 80–81°F (27%) probabilities reflect remaining uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact insolation timing, typical for a 24-hour forecast window. Historical August averages near Central Park hover around 83°F, providing climatological context for why outcomes cluster tightly around the forecast value rather than extremes. Updated model cycles and afternoon observations will refine these ranges before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in NYC on August 2?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 2?
82-83°F 36%
84-85°F 34%
80-81°F 26%
78-79°F 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 2, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
36%
84-85°F
34%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
2%
90°F or higher
1%
82-83°F 36%
84-85°F 34%
80-81°F 26%
78-79°F 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 2, 2026
71°F or below
$11 ปริมาณ
<1%
72-73°F
$10 ปริมาณ
1%
74-75°F
$78 ปริมาณ
1%
76-77°F
$53 ปริมาณ
1%
78-79°F
$17 ปริมาณ
6%
80-81°F
$68 ปริมาณ
26%
82-83°F
$55 ปริมาณ
36%
84-85°F
$235 ปริมาณ
34%
86-87°F
$504 ปริมาณ
4%
88-89°F
$154 ปริมาณ
2%
90°F or higher
$25 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service guidance for New York City on August 2 projects a high near 82°F under partly sunny skies with light southerly flow, placing the most likely outcome in the 82–83°F bin that leads trader consensus at 36%. This aligns with ensemble model runs showing modest warming from a stable air mass, tempered by variable afternoon cloud cover that can shave 1–2°F from peak readings. The closely bunched 84–85°F (33%) and 80–81°F (27%) probabilities reflect remaining uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact insolation timing, typical for a 24-hour forecast window. Historical August averages near Central Park hover around 83°F, providing climatological context for why outcomes cluster tightly around the forecast value rather than extremes. Updated model cycles and afternoon observations will refine these ranges before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,209วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service guidance for New York City on August 2 projects a high near 82°F under partly sunny skies with light southerly flow, placing the most likely outcome in the 82–83°F bin that leads trader consensus at 36%. This aligns with ensemble model runs showing modest warming from a stable air mass, tempered by variable afternoon cloud cover that can shave 1–2°F from peak readings. The closely bunched 84–85°F (33%) and 80–81°F (27%) probabilities reflect remaining uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact insolation timing, typical for a 24-hour forecast window. Historical August averages near Central Park hover around 83°F, providing climatological context for why outcomes cluster tightly around the forecast value rather than extremes. Updated model cycles and afternoon observations will refine these ranges before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,209วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service guidance for New York City on August 2 projects a high near 82°F under partly sunny skies with light southerly flow, placing the most likely outcome in the 82–83°F bin that leads trader consensus at 36%. This aligns with ensemble model runs showing modest warming from a stable air mass, tempered by variable afternoon cloud cover that can shave 1–2°F from peak readings. The closely bunched 84–85°F (33%) and 80–81°F (27%) probabilities reflect remaining uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact insolation timing, typical for a 24-hour forecast window. Historical August averages near Central Park hover around 83°F, providing climatological context for why outcomes cluster tightly around the forecast value rather than extremes. Updated model cycles and afternoon observations will refine these ranges before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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