Short-range forecasts from major models show a warm southerly flow and building high pressure favoring clear skies over the Netherlands, supporting daily maximums near 30–32 °C in Amsterdam on August 3—well above the long-term August average of ~22 °C. Subtle differences among outcomes hinge on exact boundary-layer mixing, timing of any thin high cloud, and minor shifts in the 500 hPa ridge position, which control whether the peak reaches 31 °C or edges toward 32 °C. Recent ECMWF and GFS runs remain closely clustered without strong consensus on a cooler marine influence, leaving traders pricing modest uncertainty around these leading bins as new model cycles approach.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 3?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 3?
31°C 28%
32°C 25%
30°C 14%
33°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 3, 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
14%
31°C
28%
32°C
25%
33°C
14%
34°C
7%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 28%
32°C 25%
30°C 14%
33°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 3, 2026
27°C or below
$20 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$132 ปริมาณ
2%
29°C
$153 ปริมาณ
4%
30°C
$268 ปริมาณ
14%
31°C
$178 ปริมาณ
28%
32°C
$382 ปริมาณ
25%
33°C
$991 ปริมาณ
14%
34°C
$152 ปริมาณ
7%
35°C
$135 ปริมาณ
4%
36°C
$116 ปริมาณ
1%
37°C or higher
$106 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecasts from major models show a warm southerly flow and building high pressure favoring clear skies over the Netherlands, supporting daily maximums near 30–32 °C in Amsterdam on August 3—well above the long-term August average of ~22 °C. Subtle differences among outcomes hinge on exact boundary-layer mixing, timing of any thin high cloud, and minor shifts in the 500 hPa ridge position, which control whether the peak reaches 31 °C or edges toward 32 °C. Recent ECMWF and GFS runs remain closely clustered without strong consensus on a cooler marine influence, leaving traders pricing modest uncertainty around these leading bins as new model cycles approach.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,633วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecasts from major models show a warm southerly flow and building high pressure favoring clear skies over the Netherlands, supporting daily maximums near 30–32 °C in Amsterdam on August 3—well above the long-term August average of ~22 °C. Subtle differences among outcomes hinge on exact boundary-layer mixing, timing of any thin high cloud, and minor shifts in the 500 hPa ridge position, which control whether the peak reaches 31 °C or edges toward 32 °C. Recent ECMWF and GFS runs remain closely clustered without strong consensus on a cooler marine influence, leaving traders pricing modest uncertainty around these leading bins as new model cycles approach.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,633วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-range forecasts from major models show a warm southerly flow and building high pressure favoring clear skies over the Netherlands, supporting daily maximums near 30–32 °C in Amsterdam on August 3—well above the long-term August average of ~22 °C. Subtle differences among outcomes hinge on exact boundary-layer mixing, timing of any thin high cloud, and minor shifts in the 500 hPa ridge position, which control whether the peak reaches 31 °C or edges toward 32 °C. Recent ECMWF and GFS runs remain closely clustered without strong consensus on a cooler marine influence, leaving traders pricing modest uncertainty around these leading bins as new model cycles approach.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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