Ongoing European heatwave conditions driven by persistent high pressure favor elevated overnight lows in Paris, with recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble models showing minimum temperatures most likely between 18–23°C on August 3. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 17–20°C because short-range forecasts retain notable spread in low-level moisture, cloud cover, and Atlantic air intrusion that could modestly suppress the diurnal minimum. Stronger radiative cooling under clearer skies or a faster steering pattern shift would push readings toward the lower outcomes, while continued subsidence and urban heat retention support the warmer tail. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs expected in the next 24–48 hours represent the key upcoming data points that could refine these probabilities before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Paris on August 3?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 3?
19°C 26%
20°C 23%
21°C 20%
18°C 19%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 3, 2026
17°C or below
6%
18°C
19%
19°C
26%
20°C
23%
21°C
20%
22°C
10%
23°C
10%
24°C
14%
25°C
14%
26°C
15%
27°C or higher
1%
19°C 26%
20°C 23%
21°C 20%
18°C 19%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 3, 2026
17°C or below
$29 ปริมาณ
6%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
10%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
10%
24°C
$276 ปริมาณ
14%
25°C
$175 ปริมาณ
14%
26°C
$32 ปริมาณ
15%
27°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing European heatwave conditions driven by persistent high pressure favor elevated overnight lows in Paris, with recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble models showing minimum temperatures most likely between 18–23°C on August 3. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 17–20°C because short-range forecasts retain notable spread in low-level moisture, cloud cover, and Atlantic air intrusion that could modestly suppress the diurnal minimum. Stronger radiative cooling under clearer skies or a faster steering pattern shift would push readings toward the lower outcomes, while continued subsidence and urban heat retention support the warmer tail. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs expected in the next 24–48 hours represent the key upcoming data points that could refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$512วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing European heatwave conditions driven by persistent high pressure favor elevated overnight lows in Paris, with recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble models showing minimum temperatures most likely between 18–23°C on August 3. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 17–20°C because short-range forecasts retain notable spread in low-level moisture, cloud cover, and Atlantic air intrusion that could modestly suppress the diurnal minimum. Stronger radiative cooling under clearer skies or a faster steering pattern shift would push readings toward the lower outcomes, while continued subsidence and urban heat retention support the warmer tail. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs expected in the next 24–48 hours represent the key upcoming data points that could refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$512วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing European heatwave conditions driven by persistent high pressure favor elevated overnight lows in Paris, with recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble models showing minimum temperatures most likely between 18–23°C on August 3. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 17–20°C because short-range forecasts retain notable spread in low-level moisture, cloud cover, and Atlantic air intrusion that could modestly suppress the diurnal minimum. Stronger radiative cooling under clearer skies or a faster steering pattern shift would push readings toward the lower outcomes, while continued subsidence and urban heat retention support the warmer tail. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs expected in the next 24–48 hours represent the key upcoming data points that could refine these probabilities before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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