Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a humid summer pattern with daytime highs near 33°C for Beijing on August 3, tempered by expected thundery showers that introduce cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 33–35°C because small shifts in convective timing or steering winds could either suppress the peak through rainfall or allow brief clearing that pushes readings higher, consistent with historical early-August variability of 2–3°C around the 31°C climatological mean. Low odds on extremes reflect limited potential for heatwave amplification without stronger subtropical ridge support. Updated short-range forecasts and surface observations over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the narrow spread between these outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Beijing on August 3?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 3?
34°C 30%
33°C 29%
32°C 16%
31°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 3, 2026
29°C or below
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
11%
32°C
16%
33°C
29%
34°C
30%
35°C
8%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
1%
34°C 30%
33°C 29%
32°C 16%
31°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 3, 2026
29°C or below
$411 ปริมาณ
2%
30°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
31°C
$0 ปริมาณ
11%
32°C
$0 ปริมาณ
16%
33°C
$0 ปริมาณ
29%
34°C
$0 ปริมาณ
30%
35°C
$199 ปริมาณ
8%
36°C
$128 ปริมาณ
2%
37°C
$30 ปริมาณ
2%
38°C
$10 ปริมาณ
2%
39°C or higher
$10 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a humid summer pattern with daytime highs near 33°C for Beijing on August 3, tempered by expected thundery showers that introduce cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 33–35°C because small shifts in convective timing or steering winds could either suppress the peak through rainfall or allow brief clearing that pushes readings higher, consistent with historical early-August variability of 2–3°C around the 31°C climatological mean. Low odds on extremes reflect limited potential for heatwave amplification without stronger subtropical ridge support. Updated short-range forecasts and surface observations over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the narrow spread between these outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$788วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a humid summer pattern with daytime highs near 33°C for Beijing on August 3, tempered by expected thundery showers that introduce cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 33–35°C because small shifts in convective timing or steering winds could either suppress the peak through rainfall or allow brief clearing that pushes readings higher, consistent with historical early-August variability of 2–3°C around the 31°C climatological mean. Low odds on extremes reflect limited potential for heatwave amplification without stronger subtropical ridge support. Updated short-range forecasts and surface observations over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the narrow spread between these outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$788วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a humid summer pattern with daytime highs near 33°C for Beijing on August 3, tempered by expected thundery showers that introduce cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 33–35°C because small shifts in convective timing or steering winds could either suppress the peak through rainfall or allow brief clearing that pushes readings higher, consistent with historical early-August variability of 2–3°C around the 31°C climatological mean. Low odds on extremes reflect limited potential for heatwave amplification without stronger subtropical ridge support. Updated short-range forecasts and surface observations over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the narrow spread between these outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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