Shanghai's peak temperature on August 3 will hinge on the position and strength of the Western Pacific subtropical high, which has sustained recent highs of 37–38°C, combined with variable monsoon moisture and cloud cover that can suppress or enhance daytime heating. Official model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration points to a modest dip or stabilization near 34–35°C amid typical August humidity levels above 70%, though small shifts in steering flow or afternoon convection could tip the maximum by 1°C. With market-implied odds split closely between 34°C and 35°C, traders are pricing the narrow forecast uncertainty and limited time until resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 3?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 3?
35°C 39%
34°C 33%
33°C 18%
36°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 3, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
18%
34°C
33%
35°C
39%
36°C
11%
37°C
1%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
1%
35°C 39%
34°C 33%
33°C 18%
36°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 3, 2026
29°C or below
$247 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$130 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C
$145 ปริมาณ
2%
32°C
$284 ปริมาณ
4%
33°C
$489 ปริมาณ
18%
34°C
$807 ปริมาณ
33%
35°C
$1,174 ปริมาณ
39%
36°C
$261 ปริมาณ
11%
37°C
$1,460 ปริมาณ
1%
38°C
$106 ปริมาณ
2%
39°C or higher
$772 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Shanghai's peak temperature on August 3 will hinge on the position and strength of the Western Pacific subtropical high, which has sustained recent highs of 37–38°C, combined with variable monsoon moisture and cloud cover that can suppress or enhance daytime heating. Official model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration points to a modest dip or stabilization near 34–35°C amid typical August humidity levels above 70%, though small shifts in steering flow or afternoon convection could tip the maximum by 1°C. With market-implied odds split closely between 34°C and 35°C, traders are pricing the narrow forecast uncertainty and limited time until resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,874วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Shanghai's peak temperature on August 3 will hinge on the position and strength of the Western Pacific subtropical high, which has sustained recent highs of 37–38°C, combined with variable monsoon moisture and cloud cover that can suppress or enhance daytime heating. Official model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration points to a modest dip or stabilization near 34–35°C amid typical August humidity levels above 70%, though small shifts in steering flow or afternoon convection could tip the maximum by 1°C. With market-implied odds split closely between 34°C and 35°C, traders are pricing the narrow forecast uncertainty and limited time until resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,874วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Shanghai's peak temperature on August 3 will hinge on the position and strength of the Western Pacific subtropical high, which has sustained recent highs of 37–38°C, combined with variable monsoon moisture and cloud cover that can suppress or enhance daytime heating. Official model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration points to a modest dip or stabilization near 34–35°C amid typical August humidity levels above 70%, though small shifts in steering flow or afternoon convection could tip the maximum by 1°C. With market-implied odds split closely between 34°C and 35°C, traders are pricing the narrow forecast uncertainty and limited time until resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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