Short-range forecasts from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate overnight lows in Seoul and Incheon on August 4 will most likely settle near 27°C, driven by persistent summer heat, elevated dew points, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling amid high humidity and urban heat-island effects. Recent model runs show minimal cooling from any passing weak fronts, consistent with the ongoing heatwave that produced record daytime highs and tropical-night minima above 25°C in late July and early August. Trader consensus around 27°C (61.5%) and adjacent 26–28°C outcomes reflects tight clustering in ensemble guidance, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers that would require an unexpected surge in onshore flow or clearer skies for enhanced cooling. Updated KMA briefings and model consensus through August 3 remain the key near-term catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 4?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 4?
27°C 69%
28°C 26%
26°C 20%
29°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 4, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
5%
26°C
27%
27°C
60%
28°C
26%
29°C
8%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 69%
28°C 26%
26°C 20%
29°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 4, 2026
22°C or below
$45 ปริมาณ
1%
23°C
$66 ปริมาณ
1%
24°C
$31 ปริมาณ
2%
25°C
$28 ปริมาณ
5%
26°C
$23 ปริมาณ
27%
27°C
$33 ปริมาณ
60%
28°C
$3 ปริมาณ
26%
29°C
$38 ปริมาณ
8%
30°C
$3 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C
$3 ปริมาณ
1%
32°C or higher
$13 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecasts from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate overnight lows in Seoul and Incheon on August 4 will most likely settle near 27°C, driven by persistent summer heat, elevated dew points, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling amid high humidity and urban heat-island effects. Recent model runs show minimal cooling from any passing weak fronts, consistent with the ongoing heatwave that produced record daytime highs and tropical-night minima above 25°C in late July and early August. Trader consensus around 27°C (61.5%) and adjacent 26–28°C outcomes reflects tight clustering in ensemble guidance, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers that would require an unexpected surge in onshore flow or clearer skies for enhanced cooling. Updated KMA briefings and model consensus through August 3 remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$284วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecasts from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate overnight lows in Seoul and Incheon on August 4 will most likely settle near 27°C, driven by persistent summer heat, elevated dew points, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling amid high humidity and urban heat-island effects. Recent model runs show minimal cooling from any passing weak fronts, consistent with the ongoing heatwave that produced record daytime highs and tropical-night minima above 25°C in late July and early August. Trader consensus around 27°C (61.5%) and adjacent 26–28°C outcomes reflects tight clustering in ensemble guidance, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers that would require an unexpected surge in onshore flow or clearer skies for enhanced cooling. Updated KMA briefings and model consensus through August 3 remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$284วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-range forecasts from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate overnight lows in Seoul and Incheon on August 4 will most likely settle near 27°C, driven by persistent summer heat, elevated dew points, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling amid high humidity and urban heat-island effects. Recent model runs show minimal cooling from any passing weak fronts, consistent with the ongoing heatwave that produced record daytime highs and tropical-night minima above 25°C in late July and early August. Trader consensus around 27°C (61.5%) and adjacent 26–28°C outcomes reflects tight clustering in ensemble guidance, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers that would require an unexpected surge in onshore flow or clearer skies for enhanced cooling. Updated KMA briefings and model consensus through August 3 remain the key near-term catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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