Current numerical weather prediction models, including guidance from the Met Office and other global ensembles, indicate a maximum temperature of 36–37°C in Madrid on August 6 under persistent high pressure and clear skies typical of midsummer. This consensus, with limited spread across runs, underpins the market's strong weighting toward those outcomes, while accounting for standard forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C. Recent observations show Madrid experiencing above-average warmth through early August 2026, consistent with the season's elevated baseline but without signals of an extreme heat spike. Updated model cycles and AEMET briefings in the coming 48 hours represent the next key data points that could refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Madrid on August 6?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 6?
37°C 50%
36°C 23%
38°C 22%
35°C 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 6, 2026
33°C or below
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
4%
36°C
23%
37°C
50%
38°C
22%
39°C
4%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
37°C 50%
36°C 23%
38°C 22%
35°C 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 6, 2026
33°C or below
$316 ปริมาณ
1%
34°C
$102 ปริมาณ
2%
35°C
$262 ปริมาณ
4%
36°C
$995 ปริมาณ
23%
37°C
$460 ปริมาณ
50%
38°C
$400 ปริมาณ
22%
39°C
$140 ปริมาณ
4%
40°C
$80 ปริมาณ
1%
41°C
$312 ปริมาณ
<1%
42°C
$86 ปริมาณ
<1%
43°C or higher
$376 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including guidance from the Met Office and other global ensembles, indicate a maximum temperature of 36–37°C in Madrid on August 6 under persistent high pressure and clear skies typical of midsummer. This consensus, with limited spread across runs, underpins the market's strong weighting toward those outcomes, while accounting for standard forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C. Recent observations show Madrid experiencing above-average warmth through early August 2026, consistent with the season's elevated baseline but without signals of an extreme heat spike. Updated model cycles and AEMET briefings in the coming 48 hours represent the next key data points that could refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,529วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including guidance from the Met Office and other global ensembles, indicate a maximum temperature of 36–37°C in Madrid on August 6 under persistent high pressure and clear skies typical of midsummer. This consensus, with limited spread across runs, underpins the market's strong weighting toward those outcomes, while accounting for standard forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C. Recent observations show Madrid experiencing above-average warmth through early August 2026, consistent with the season's elevated baseline but without signals of an extreme heat spike. Updated model cycles and AEMET briefings in the coming 48 hours represent the next key data points that could refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,529วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models, including guidance from the Met Office and other global ensembles, indicate a maximum temperature of 36–37°C in Madrid on August 6 under persistent high pressure and clear skies typical of midsummer. This consensus, with limited spread across runs, underpins the market's strong weighting toward those outcomes, while accounting for standard forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C. Recent observations show Madrid experiencing above-average warmth through early August 2026, consistent with the season's elevated baseline but without signals of an extreme heat spike. Updated model cycles and AEMET briefings in the coming 48 hours represent the next key data points that could refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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