Current forecasts from models like those referenced by the Met Office and other agencies indicate Moscow highs near 29–30°C on August 6, aligning with the market's tight split between those bins. Key differentiators include the strength and position of a high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies versus any increase in cloud cover or northerly flow that could limit peak solar heating and surface warming. Soil moisture, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of maximum insolation also influence whether readings edge toward 30°C or hold at 29°C. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow will resolve remaining uncertainty in these variables.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Moscow on August 6?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 6?
29°C 39%
30°C 35%
28°C 16%
31°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 6, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
16%
29°C
39%
30°C
35%
31°C
9%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 39%
30°C 35%
28°C 16%
31°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 6, 2026
23°C or below
$1,177 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$605 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$676 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$240 ปริมาณ
2%
27°C
$232 ปริมาณ
4%
28°C
$352 ปริมาณ
16%
29°C
$584 ปริมาณ
39%
30°C
$355 ปริมาณ
35%
31°C
$791 ปริมาณ
9%
32°C
$200 ปริมาณ
2%
33°C or higher
$99 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from models like those referenced by the Met Office and other agencies indicate Moscow highs near 29–30°C on August 6, aligning with the market's tight split between those bins. Key differentiators include the strength and position of a high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies versus any increase in cloud cover or northerly flow that could limit peak solar heating and surface warming. Soil moisture, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of maximum insolation also influence whether readings edge toward 30°C or hold at 29°C. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow will resolve remaining uncertainty in these variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,311วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from models like those referenced by the Met Office and other agencies indicate Moscow highs near 29–30°C on August 6, aligning with the market's tight split between those bins. Key differentiators include the strength and position of a high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies versus any increase in cloud cover or northerly flow that could limit peak solar heating and surface warming. Soil moisture, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of maximum insolation also influence whether readings edge toward 30°C or hold at 29°C. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow will resolve remaining uncertainty in these variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,311วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from models like those referenced by the Met Office and other agencies indicate Moscow highs near 29–30°C on August 6, aligning with the market's tight split between those bins. Key differentiators include the strength and position of a high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies versus any increase in cloud cover or northerly flow that could limit peak solar heating and surface warming. Soil moisture, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of maximum insolation also influence whether readings edge toward 30°C or hold at 29°C. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow will resolve remaining uncertainty in these variables.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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