Singapore's equatorial climate features consistently high humidity and frequent afternoon thundery showers that typically limit peak daytime heating, with official long-term August averages near 31°C. Recent NEA guidance for early August 2026 highlights drier-than-average conditions supporting daily maxima of 33–34°C, consistent with current model consensus from sources like the Meteorological Service Singapore projecting 34°C and BBC/AccuWeather runs around 33°C for August 5 amid south-easterly flow. The near-even split between 32°C and 33°C market-implied odds reflects uncertainty over shower timing and intensity, which can suppress temperatures by several degrees if they develop earlier or allow brief clearing for higher readings if delayed. Historical analogs show occasional spikes to 34°C under similar wind and moisture patterns, but widespread convection often keeps the daily high closer to 32°C. Traders appear to weigh these short-term convective variables heavily ahead of the next model updates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Singapore on August 5?
32°C 50%
33°C 42%
30°C 10%
34°C 10%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
10%
31°C
7%
32°C
50%
33°C
42%
34°C
10%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
32°C 50%
33°C 42%
30°C 10%
34°C 10%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
10%
31°C
7%
32°C
50%
33°C
42%
34°C
10%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Singapore's equatorial climate features consistently high humidity and frequent afternoon thundery showers that typically limit peak daytime heating, with official long-term August averages near 31°C. Recent NEA guidance for early August 2026 highlights drier-than-average conditions supporting daily maxima of 33–34°C, consistent with current model consensus from sources like the Meteorological Service Singapore projecting 34°C and BBC/AccuWeather runs around 33°C for August 5 amid south-easterly flow. The near-even split between 32°C and 33°C market-implied odds reflects uncertainty over shower timing and intensity, which can suppress temperatures by several degrees if they develop earlier or allow brief clearing for higher readings if delayed. Historical analogs show occasional spikes to 34°C under similar wind and moisture patterns, but widespread convection often keeps the daily high closer to 32°C. Traders appear to weigh these short-term convective variables heavily ahead of the next model updates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว



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