Recent forecasts from regional models show Shenzhen's daily maximum on August 5 most likely settling between 31–33 °C, with the 32 °C outcome holding a narrow market edge. Subtropical monsoon flow, variable cloud cover, and sea-surface temperatures in the adjacent South China Sea are the dominant drivers, producing modest day-to-day spread in guidance. Ensemble runs exhibit typical 1–2 °C uncertainty ranges this far ahead, while urban heat-island effects in the densely built city core add a small upward bias relative to rural stations. No major tropical systems or strong cold-air intrusions are currently indicated for the period. Updated model cycles from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the probability distribution further.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 5?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 5?
32°C 38%
33°C 31%
31°C 20%
34°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 5, 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
8%
29°C
2%
30°C
7%
31°C
20%
32°C
38%
33°C
31%
34°C
9%
35°C
4%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
2%
32°C 38%
33°C 31%
31°C 20%
34°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 5, 2026
27°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$20 ปริมาณ
8%
29°C
$99 ปริมาณ
2%
30°C
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
31°C
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
32°C
$26 ปริมาณ
38%
33°C
$10 ปริมาณ
31%
34°C
$12 ปริมาณ
9%
35°C
$1,201 ปริมาณ
4%
36°C
$42 ปริมาณ
3%
37°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from regional models show Shenzhen's daily maximum on August 5 most likely settling between 31–33 °C, with the 32 °C outcome holding a narrow market edge. Subtropical monsoon flow, variable cloud cover, and sea-surface temperatures in the adjacent South China Sea are the dominant drivers, producing modest day-to-day spread in guidance. Ensemble runs exhibit typical 1–2 °C uncertainty ranges this far ahead, while urban heat-island effects in the densely built city core add a small upward bias relative to rural stations. No major tropical systems or strong cold-air intrusions are currently indicated for the period. Updated model cycles from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the probability distribution further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,410วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from regional models show Shenzhen's daily maximum on August 5 most likely settling between 31–33 °C, with the 32 °C outcome holding a narrow market edge. Subtropical monsoon flow, variable cloud cover, and sea-surface temperatures in the adjacent South China Sea are the dominant drivers, producing modest day-to-day spread in guidance. Ensemble runs exhibit typical 1–2 °C uncertainty ranges this far ahead, while urban heat-island effects in the densely built city core add a small upward bias relative to rural stations. No major tropical systems or strong cold-air intrusions are currently indicated for the period. Updated model cycles from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the probability distribution further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,410วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from regional models show Shenzhen's daily maximum on August 5 most likely settling between 31–33 °C, with the 32 °C outcome holding a narrow market edge. Subtropical monsoon flow, variable cloud cover, and sea-surface temperatures in the adjacent South China Sea are the dominant drivers, producing modest day-to-day spread in guidance. Ensemble runs exhibit typical 1–2 °C uncertainty ranges this far ahead, while urban heat-island effects in the densely built city core add a small upward bias relative to rural stations. No major tropical systems or strong cold-air intrusions are currently indicated for the period. Updated model cycles from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the probability distribution further.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย