Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models project overnight lows near 26°C on August 5 under a broad trough of low pressure driving persistent cloud cover, showers, and high humidity that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's leading 26°C outcome at 39.5% implied probability, while 25°C and 27°C options reflect minor model spread in minimum temperatures. Seasonal guidance indicates normal to above-normal August temperatures overall, consistent with climatological August minima around 26–27°C. Recent heavy rain bands over the Pearl River Estuary have reinforced these stable, humid conditions, though any clearing or wind shifts in the final 48 hours could adjust the exact minimum recorded by official stations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 5?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 5?
26°C 40%
31°C or higher 22.9%
21°C or below 22.4%
25°C 19%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 5, 2026
21°C or below
22%
22°C
1%
23°C
18%
24°C
18%
25°C
19%
26°C
40%
27°C
18%
28°C
11%
29°C
8%
30°C
15%
31°C or higher
23%
26°C 40%
31°C or higher 22.9%
21°C or below 22.4%
25°C 19%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 5, 2026
21°C or below
$22 ปริมาณ
22%
22°C
$27 ปริมาณ
1%
23°C
$27 ปริมาณ
18%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
18%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
26°C
$10 ปริมาณ
40%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
18%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
11%
29°C
$32 ปริมาณ
8%
30°C
$22 ปริมาณ
15%
31°C or higher
$22 ปริมาณ
23%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models project overnight lows near 26°C on August 5 under a broad trough of low pressure driving persistent cloud cover, showers, and high humidity that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's leading 26°C outcome at 39.5% implied probability, while 25°C and 27°C options reflect minor model spread in minimum temperatures. Seasonal guidance indicates normal to above-normal August temperatures overall, consistent with climatological August minima around 26–27°C. Recent heavy rain bands over the Pearl River Estuary have reinforced these stable, humid conditions, though any clearing or wind shifts in the final 48 hours could adjust the exact minimum recorded by official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$146วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models project overnight lows near 26°C on August 5 under a broad trough of low pressure driving persistent cloud cover, showers, and high humidity that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's leading 26°C outcome at 39.5% implied probability, while 25°C and 27°C options reflect minor model spread in minimum temperatures. Seasonal guidance indicates normal to above-normal August temperatures overall, consistent with climatological August minima around 26–27°C. Recent heavy rain bands over the Pearl River Estuary have reinforced these stable, humid conditions, though any clearing or wind shifts in the final 48 hours could adjust the exact minimum recorded by official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$146วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models project overnight lows near 26°C on August 5 under a broad trough of low pressure driving persistent cloud cover, showers, and high humidity that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's leading 26°C outcome at 39.5% implied probability, while 25°C and 27°C options reflect minor model spread in minimum temperatures. Seasonal guidance indicates normal to above-normal August temperatures overall, consistent with climatological August minima around 26–27°C. Recent heavy rain bands over the Pearl River Estuary have reinforced these stable, humid conditions, though any clearing or wind shifts in the final 48 hours could adjust the exact minimum recorded by official stations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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