Current atmospheric patterns over the South China Sea, including monsoon flow and potential tropical disturbance activity, are driving tight clustering in trader sentiment around 24–26°C for Hong Kong’s August 1 minimum. Nighttime radiative cooling is modulated by cloud cover, humidity levels, and wind mixing, while the urban heat island effect from dense infrastructure often elevates urban lows several degrees above rural baselines. Subtle differences in forecast model runs for sea-breeze timing, shower development, and air-mass origin create the narrow spreads between these outcomes, with clearer skies favoring cooler readings near 24°C and persistent cloud or moisture trapping heat closer to 26°C. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and updated model consensus will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 1?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 1?
25°C 35%
24°C 33%
26°C 29%
21°C or below 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 1, 2026
21°C or below
7%
22°C
1%
23°C
6%
24°C
33%
25°C
35%
26°C
29%
27°C
5%
28°C
5%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
25°C 35%
24°C 33%
26°C 29%
21°C or below 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 1, 2026
21°C or below
$42 ปริมาณ
7%
22°C
$32 ปริมาณ
1%
23°C
$10 ปริมาณ
6%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
33%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
35%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
29%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
29°C
$25 ปริมาณ
3%
30°C
$22 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current atmospheric patterns over the South China Sea, including monsoon flow and potential tropical disturbance activity, are driving tight clustering in trader sentiment around 24–26°C for Hong Kong’s August 1 minimum. Nighttime radiative cooling is modulated by cloud cover, humidity levels, and wind mixing, while the urban heat island effect from dense infrastructure often elevates urban lows several degrees above rural baselines. Subtle differences in forecast model runs for sea-breeze timing, shower development, and air-mass origin create the narrow spreads between these outcomes, with clearer skies favoring cooler readings near 24°C and persistent cloud or moisture trapping heat closer to 26°C. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and updated model consensus will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$131วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current atmospheric patterns over the South China Sea, including monsoon flow and potential tropical disturbance activity, are driving tight clustering in trader sentiment around 24–26°C for Hong Kong’s August 1 minimum. Nighttime radiative cooling is modulated by cloud cover, humidity levels, and wind mixing, while the urban heat island effect from dense infrastructure often elevates urban lows several degrees above rural baselines. Subtle differences in forecast model runs for sea-breeze timing, shower development, and air-mass origin create the narrow spreads between these outcomes, with clearer skies favoring cooler readings near 24°C and persistent cloud or moisture trapping heat closer to 26°C. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and updated model consensus will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$131วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current atmospheric patterns over the South China Sea, including monsoon flow and potential tropical disturbance activity, are driving tight clustering in trader sentiment around 24–26°C for Hong Kong’s August 1 minimum. Nighttime radiative cooling is modulated by cloud cover, humidity levels, and wind mixing, while the urban heat island effect from dense infrastructure often elevates urban lows several degrees above rural baselines. Subtle differences in forecast model runs for sea-breeze timing, shower development, and air-mass origin create the narrow spreads between these outcomes, with clearer skies favoring cooler readings near 24°C and persistent cloud or moisture trapping heat closer to 26°C. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and updated model consensus will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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