Traders see the lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 1 clustering tightly around 27–28°C because JMA and ensemble models currently project a minimum near 27°C under persistent influence from an expanded Pacific high. This setup favors mostly cloudy skies that limit nocturnal radiative cooling while maintaining high humidity and light winds typical of midsummer. Historical climatology places average August lows near 24–25°C, but 2026 guidance indicates above-normal warmth from the strong subtropical ridge, pushing probabilities toward the upper end of the normal range. Minor model spreads on exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing explain the near-equal weighting across 26–29°C outcomes, with resolution hinging on the final 24–48 hours of observational data and any last-minute forecast adjustments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 1?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 1?
31°C 62%
28°C 40%
27°C 38%
26°C 36%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 1, 2026
22°C or below
9%
23°C
16%
24°C
26%
25°C
35%
26°C
36%
27°C
38%
28°C
40%
29°C
35%
30°C
2%
31°C
62%
32°C or higher
1%
31°C 62%
28°C 40%
27°C 38%
26°C 36%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 1, 2026
22°C or below
$32 ปริมาณ
9%
23°C
$20 ปริมาณ
16%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
35%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
36%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
38%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
35%
30°C
$71 ปริมาณ
2%
31°C
$32 ปริมาณ
62%
32°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 1 clustering tightly around 27–28°C because JMA and ensemble models currently project a minimum near 27°C under persistent influence from an expanded Pacific high. This setup favors mostly cloudy skies that limit nocturnal radiative cooling while maintaining high humidity and light winds typical of midsummer. Historical climatology places average August lows near 24–25°C, but 2026 guidance indicates above-normal warmth from the strong subtropical ridge, pushing probabilities toward the upper end of the normal range. Minor model spreads on exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing explain the near-equal weighting across 26–29°C outcomes, with resolution hinging on the final 24–48 hours of observational data and any last-minute forecast adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$155วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 1 clustering tightly around 27–28°C because JMA and ensemble models currently project a minimum near 27°C under persistent influence from an expanded Pacific high. This setup favors mostly cloudy skies that limit nocturnal radiative cooling while maintaining high humidity and light winds typical of midsummer. Historical climatology places average August lows near 24–25°C, but 2026 guidance indicates above-normal warmth from the strong subtropical ridge, pushing probabilities toward the upper end of the normal range. Minor model spreads on exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing explain the near-equal weighting across 26–29°C outcomes, with resolution hinging on the final 24–48 hours of observational data and any last-minute forecast adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$155วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 1 clustering tightly around 27–28°C because JMA and ensemble models currently project a minimum near 27°C under persistent influence from an expanded Pacific high. This setup favors mostly cloudy skies that limit nocturnal radiative cooling while maintaining high humidity and light winds typical of midsummer. Historical climatology places average August lows near 24–25°C, but 2026 guidance indicates above-normal warmth from the strong subtropical ridge, pushing probabilities toward the upper end of the normal range. Minor model spreads on exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing explain the near-equal weighting across 26–29°C outcomes, with resolution hinging on the final 24–48 hours of observational data and any last-minute forecast adjustments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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