Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a minimum temperature of 27°C for August 7 under partly cloudy to showery subtropical summer conditions with light winds and elevated humidity. This aligns with the market's 93.5% implied probability for 27°C, reflecting model consensus on limited overnight radiative cooling amid cloud cover and urban heat retention. Seasonal outlooks indicate normal to above-normal temperatures through October 2026 amid long-term warming trends, with no cold air intrusions or typhoon influences expected to depress readings. Updated model runs and evening observations could refine the exact low before resolution, though significant downward shifts remain unlikely absent unexpected clear skies or steering pattern changes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 7?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 7?
27°C 94%
26°C 7%
25°C <1%
24°C <1%
ใหม่
$42,630 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$42,630 ปริมาณ
Aug 7, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
7%
27°C
94%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 94%
26°C 7%
25°C <1%
24°C <1%
ใหม่
$42,630 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$42,630 ปริมาณ
Aug 7, 2026
21°C or below
$501 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$561 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$791 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$3,241 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$3,543 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$6,115 ปริมาณ
7%
27°C
$7,966 ปริมาณ
94%
28°C
$11,938 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$4,709 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$2,526 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C or higher
$737 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a minimum temperature of 27°C for August 7 under partly cloudy to showery subtropical summer conditions with light winds and elevated humidity. This aligns with the market's 93.5% implied probability for 27°C, reflecting model consensus on limited overnight radiative cooling amid cloud cover and urban heat retention. Seasonal outlooks indicate normal to above-normal temperatures through October 2026 amid long-term warming trends, with no cold air intrusions or typhoon influences expected to depress readings. Updated model runs and evening observations could refine the exact low before resolution, though significant downward shifts remain unlikely absent unexpected clear skies or steering pattern changes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$42,630วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a minimum temperature of 27°C for August 7 under partly cloudy to showery subtropical summer conditions with light winds and elevated humidity. This aligns with the market's 93.5% implied probability for 27°C, reflecting model consensus on limited overnight radiative cooling amid cloud cover and urban heat retention. Seasonal outlooks indicate normal to above-normal temperatures through October 2026 amid long-term warming trends, with no cold air intrusions or typhoon influences expected to depress readings. Updated model runs and evening observations could refine the exact low before resolution, though significant downward shifts remain unlikely absent unexpected clear skies or steering pattern changes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$42,630วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a minimum temperature of 27°C for August 7 under partly cloudy to showery subtropical summer conditions with light winds and elevated humidity. This aligns with the market's 93.5% implied probability for 27°C, reflecting model consensus on limited overnight radiative cooling amid cloud cover and urban heat retention. Seasonal outlooks indicate normal to above-normal temperatures through October 2026 amid long-term warming trends, with no cold air intrusions or typhoon influences expected to depress readings. Updated model runs and evening observations could refine the exact low before resolution, though significant downward shifts remain unlikely absent unexpected clear skies or steering pattern changes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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