Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate Shanghai will reach a daily maximum of 33–34°C on August 7 under hot, humid summer conditions with variable cloud cover and possible light rain or thunderstorms that cap surface heating. These outcomes lead because ensemble guidance shows limited daytime solar input and moderate steering winds, keeping peaks near historical August averages while ruling out extremes above 36°C. The narrow spread between 33°C and 34°C reflects minor model disagreements on exact precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, with traders weighting the latest high-resolution runs that resolve afternoon convection. Official updates from the CMA and NCEP ensembles expected later today could shift implied probabilities if clearer skies or stronger instability emerge.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 7?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 7?
34°C 42%
33°C 33%
35°C 14%
32°C 10%
ใหม่
$11,820 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$11,820 ปริมาณ
Aug 7, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
10%
33°C
33%
34°C
42%
35°C
14%
36°C
3%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 42%
33°C 33%
35°C 14%
32°C 10%
ใหม่
$11,820 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$11,820 ปริมาณ
Aug 7, 2026
28°C or below
$561 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$197 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$307 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C
$304 ปริมาณ
2%
32°C
$1,770 ปริมาณ
10%
33°C
$2,047 ปริมาณ
33%
34°C
$2,342 ปริมาณ
42%
35°C
$2,370 ปริมาณ
14%
36°C
$1,043 ปริมาณ
3%
37°C
$565 ปริมาณ
<1%
38°C or higher
$316 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate Shanghai will reach a daily maximum of 33–34°C on August 7 under hot, humid summer conditions with variable cloud cover and possible light rain or thunderstorms that cap surface heating. These outcomes lead because ensemble guidance shows limited daytime solar input and moderate steering winds, keeping peaks near historical August averages while ruling out extremes above 36°C. The narrow spread between 33°C and 34°C reflects minor model disagreements on exact precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, with traders weighting the latest high-resolution runs that resolve afternoon convection. Official updates from the CMA and NCEP ensembles expected later today could shift implied probabilities if clearer skies or stronger instability emerge.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,820วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate Shanghai will reach a daily maximum of 33–34°C on August 7 under hot, humid summer conditions with variable cloud cover and possible light rain or thunderstorms that cap surface heating. These outcomes lead because ensemble guidance shows limited daytime solar input and moderate steering winds, keeping peaks near historical August averages while ruling out extremes above 36°C. The narrow spread between 33°C and 34°C reflects minor model disagreements on exact precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, with traders weighting the latest high-resolution runs that resolve afternoon convection. Official updates from the CMA and NCEP ensembles expected later today could shift implied probabilities if clearer skies or stronger instability emerge.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,820วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate Shanghai will reach a daily maximum of 33–34°C on August 7 under hot, humid summer conditions with variable cloud cover and possible light rain or thunderstorms that cap surface heating. These outcomes lead because ensemble guidance shows limited daytime solar input and moderate steering winds, keeping peaks near historical August averages while ruling out extremes above 36°C. The narrow spread between 33°C and 34°C reflects minor model disagreements on exact precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, with traders weighting the latest high-resolution runs that resolve afternoon convection. Official updates from the CMA and NCEP ensembles expected later today could shift implied probabilities if clearer skies or stronger instability emerge.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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