**Subtropical high pressure and light winds under clear or mainly fine conditions are positioning the overnight low near 27°C as the consensus outcome for August 6.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance explicitly forecasts a minimum of 27°C with a maximum near 33°C, consistent with recent model runs showing limited cloud cover and only isolated showers possible. This aligns with typical August climatology, where urban-area overnight lows average around 26–27°C amid seasonal warmth and neutral-to-favorable ENSO conditions that have kept temperatures normal to slightly above normal. Trader emphasis on 27°C (53.5% implied probability) and 28°C (22.5%) reflects the narrow expected range, while lower outcomes like 25°C carry reduced weight absent any significant cooling signals in current forecasts. Updated HKO briefings and any late convective activity remain the main near-term variables that could influence final recorded values before midnight resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 6?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 6?
27°C 50%
28°C 24%
25°C 13%
26°C 12%
ใหม่
$10,486 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$10,486 ปริมาณ
Aug 6, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
13%
26°C
12%
27°C
50%
28°C
24%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 50%
28°C 24%
25°C 13%
26°C 12%
ใหม่
$10,486 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$10,486 ปริมาณ
Aug 6, 2026
21°C or below
$381 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$770 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$459 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$561 ปริมาณ
4%
25°C
$673 ปริมาณ
13%
26°C
$1,038 ปริมาณ
12%
27°C
$1,718 ปริมาณ
50%
28°C
$2,026 ปริมาณ
24%
29°C
$1,917 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$473 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C or higher
$469 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Subtropical high pressure and light winds under clear or mainly fine conditions are positioning the overnight low near 27°C as the consensus outcome for August 6.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance explicitly forecasts a minimum of 27°C with a maximum near 33°C, consistent with recent model runs showing limited cloud cover and only isolated showers possible. This aligns with typical August climatology, where urban-area overnight lows average around 26–27°C amid seasonal warmth and neutral-to-favorable ENSO conditions that have kept temperatures normal to slightly above normal. Trader emphasis on 27°C (53.5% implied probability) and 28°C (22.5%) reflects the narrow expected range, while lower outcomes like 25°C carry reduced weight absent any significant cooling signals in current forecasts. Updated HKO briefings and any late convective activity remain the main near-term variables that could influence final recorded values before midnight resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,486วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Subtropical high pressure and light winds under clear or mainly fine conditions are positioning the overnight low near 27°C as the consensus outcome for August 6.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance explicitly forecasts a minimum of 27°C with a maximum near 33°C, consistent with recent model runs showing limited cloud cover and only isolated showers possible. This aligns with typical August climatology, where urban-area overnight lows average around 26–27°C amid seasonal warmth and neutral-to-favorable ENSO conditions that have kept temperatures normal to slightly above normal. Trader emphasis on 27°C (53.5% implied probability) and 28°C (22.5%) reflects the narrow expected range, while lower outcomes like 25°C carry reduced weight absent any significant cooling signals in current forecasts. Updated HKO briefings and any late convective activity remain the main near-term variables that could influence final recorded values before midnight resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,486วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Subtropical high pressure and light winds under clear or mainly fine conditions are positioning the overnight low near 27°C as the consensus outcome for August 6.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance explicitly forecasts a minimum of 27°C with a maximum near 33°C, consistent with recent model runs showing limited cloud cover and only isolated showers possible. This aligns with typical August climatology, where urban-area overnight lows average around 26–27°C amid seasonal warmth and neutral-to-favorable ENSO conditions that have kept temperatures normal to slightly above normal. Trader emphasis on 27°C (53.5% implied probability) and 28°C (22.5%) reflects the narrow expected range, while lower outcomes like 25°C carry reduced weight absent any significant cooling signals in current forecasts. Updated HKO briefings and any late convective activity remain the main near-term variables that could influence final recorded values before midnight resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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