Current forecast guidance from Environment Canada and major models shows stable high pressure over Toronto, with clear skies and light easterly winds favoring radiative cooling overnight on September 24. This setup supports a minimum temperature most likely in the 6–11°C range, consistent with late-September climatology under similar anticyclonic conditions. Model spreads create the tight market balance between sub-5°C outcomes and those at or above 15°C, as small shifts in cloud timing or wind speed could alter the low by several degrees. Updated runs from the GFS, ECMWF, and Environment Canada will provide the next key data points before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Toronto on September 24?
15°C or higher 45%
5°C or below 44%
6°C 38%
7°C 38%
5°C or below
44%
6°C
38%
7°C
38%
8°C
20%
9°C
21%
10°C
22%
11°C
22%
12°C
21%
13°C
20%
14°C
38%
15°C or higher
45%
15°C or higher 45%
5°C or below 44%
6°C 38%
7°C 38%
5°C or below
44%
6°C
38%
7°C
38%
8°C
20%
9°C
21%
10°C
22%
11°C
22%
12°C
21%
13°C
20%
14°C
38%
15°C or higher
45%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 22, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast guidance from Environment Canada and major models shows stable high pressure over Toronto, with clear skies and light easterly winds favoring radiative cooling overnight on September 24. This setup supports a minimum temperature most likely in the 6–11°C range, consistent with late-September climatology under similar anticyclonic conditions. Model spreads create the tight market balance between sub-5°C outcomes and those at or above 15°C, as small shifts in cloud timing or wind speed could alter the low by several degrees. Updated runs from the GFS, ECMWF, and Environment Canada will provide the next key data points before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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