Recent forecast model runs from sources including GEM and regional meteorological services indicate overnight lows near 13–14°C for Mexico City on September 24, aligning with the city's typical late-September highland climatology where radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies yields minimums around 12–13°C. Trader consensus shows nearly even implied probabilities for extremes (7°C or below and 17°C or higher at 46% each), reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover, precipitation timing, and steering winds that can modulate nocturnal temperature drops by several degrees. Mid-range outcomes such as 14°C or 15°C carry lower but notable shares near 21%, consistent with historical variability and the narrow window for final observational data before market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Mexico City on September 24?
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on September 24?
7°C or below 92%
17°C or higher 92%
8°C 39%
9°C 39%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 24, 2026
7°C or below
92%
8°C
39%
9°C
39%
10°C
30%
11°C
29%
12°C
16%
13°C
19%
14°C
22%
15°C
22%
16°C
21%
17°C or higher
92%
7°C or below 92%
17°C or higher 92%
8°C 39%
9°C 39%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 24, 2026
7°C or below
$10 ปริมาณ
92%
8°C
$10 ปริมาณ
39%
9°C
$10 ปริมาณ
39%
10°C
$10 ปริมาณ
30%
11°C
$58 ปริมาณ
29%
12°C
$348 ปริมาณ
16%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
17°C or higher
$10 ปริมาณ
92%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources including GEM and regional meteorological services indicate overnight lows near 13–14°C for Mexico City on September 24, aligning with the city's typical late-September highland climatology where radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies yields minimums around 12–13°C. Trader consensus shows nearly even implied probabilities for extremes (7°C or below and 17°C or higher at 46% each), reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover, precipitation timing, and steering winds that can modulate nocturnal temperature drops by several degrees. Mid-range outcomes such as 14°C or 15°C carry lower but notable shares near 21%, consistent with historical variability and the narrow window for final observational data before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 22, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$456วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 22, 2026, 8:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources including GEM and regional meteorological services indicate overnight lows near 13–14°C for Mexico City on September 24, aligning with the city's typical late-September highland climatology where radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies yields minimums around 12–13°C. Trader consensus shows nearly even implied probabilities for extremes (7°C or below and 17°C or higher at 46% each), reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover, precipitation timing, and steering winds that can modulate nocturnal temperature drops by several degrees. Mid-range outcomes such as 14°C or 15°C carry lower but notable shares near 21%, consistent with historical variability and the narrow window for final observational data before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$456วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 22, 2026, 8:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47de9d...Recent forecast model runs from sources including GEM and regional meteorological services indicate overnight lows near 13–14°C for Mexico City on September 24, aligning with the city's typical late-September highland climatology where radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies yields minimums around 12–13°C. Trader consensus shows nearly even implied probabilities for extremes (7°C or below and 17°C or higher at 46% each), reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover, precipitation timing, and steering winds that can modulate nocturnal temperature drops by several degrees. Mid-range outcomes such as 14°C or 15°C carry lower but notable shares near 21%, consistent with historical variability and the narrow window for final observational data before market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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