Recent forecasts for Mexico City’s overnight low on September 23 show model consensus clustering around 12–14°C, with some runs indicating potential for slightly higher or lower values depending on cloud evolution. The city’s high elevation drives strong nocturnal radiative cooling, but persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity from the late rainy season moderate temperature drops by trapping longwave radiation. Clearer intervals could allow greater heat loss and push readings toward the lower tail, while thicker overcast or lingering moisture favors milder minima. Trader positioning reflects this narrow uncertainty band between typical climatological lows near 13°C and modest deviations from forecast guidance, with resolution hinging on the final official minimum reported by monitoring stations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Mexico City on September 23?
6°C or below 90%
16°C or higher 45%
13°C 22%
14°C 22%
6°C or below
90%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
9%
12°C
21%
13°C
22%
14°C
22%
15°C
22%
16°C or higher
45%
6°C or below 90%
16°C or higher 45%
13°C 22%
14°C 22%
6°C or below
90%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
9%
12°C
21%
13°C
22%
14°C
22%
15°C
22%
16°C or higher
45%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 21, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Mexico City’s overnight low on September 23 show model consensus clustering around 12–14°C, with some runs indicating potential for slightly higher or lower values depending on cloud evolution. The city’s high elevation drives strong nocturnal radiative cooling, but persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity from the late rainy season moderate temperature drops by trapping longwave radiation. Clearer intervals could allow greater heat loss and push readings toward the lower tail, while thicker overcast or lingering moisture favors milder minima. Trader positioning reflects this narrow uncertainty band between typical climatological lows near 13°C and modest deviations from forecast guidance, with resolution hinging on the final official minimum reported by monitoring stations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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