Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs points to a Friday maximum near 22–23°C in Istanbul, driven by clearing skies and reduced cloud cover after Wednesday’s heavy rain and cooler northerly flow. Light winds and strong September solar insolation under high pressure will promote daytime radiative warming, lifting temperatures from the mid-teens observed on the 23rd. Historical September averages near 23°C provide climatological context, yet small differences in boundary-layer moisture or exact timing of clearing could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Traders appear to price this narrow uncertainty band evenly across central outcomes, with minimal probability assigned to extremes given the short-range stability of the forecast.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 25?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on September 25?
21°C 48%
19°C 39%
20°C 25%
22°C 23%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 25, 2026
16°C or below
4%
17°C
4%
18°C
7%
19°C
39%
20°C
25%
21°C
37%
22°C
23%
23°C
7%
24°C
20%
25°C
5%
26°C or higher
4%
21°C 48%
19°C 39%
20°C 25%
22°C 23%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 25, 2026
16°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
21°C
$26 ปริมาณ
37%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
26°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs points to a Friday maximum near 22–23°C in Istanbul, driven by clearing skies and reduced cloud cover after Wednesday’s heavy rain and cooler northerly flow. Light winds and strong September solar insolation under high pressure will promote daytime radiative warming, lifting temperatures from the mid-teens observed on the 23rd. Historical September averages near 23°C provide climatological context, yet small differences in boundary-layer moisture or exact timing of clearing could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Traders appear to price this narrow uncertainty band evenly across central outcomes, with minimal probability assigned to extremes given the short-range stability of the forecast.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs points to a Friday maximum near 22–23°C in Istanbul, driven by clearing skies and reduced cloud cover after Wednesday’s heavy rain and cooler northerly flow. Light winds and strong September solar insolation under high pressure will promote daytime radiative warming, lifting temperatures from the mid-teens observed on the 23rd. Historical September averages near 23°C provide climatological context, yet small differences in boundary-layer moisture or exact timing of clearing could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Traders appear to price this narrow uncertainty band evenly across central outcomes, with minimal probability assigned to extremes given the short-range stability of the forecast.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs points to a Friday maximum near 22–23°C in Istanbul, driven by clearing skies and reduced cloud cover after Wednesday’s heavy rain and cooler northerly flow. Light winds and strong September solar insolation under high pressure will promote daytime radiative warming, lifting temperatures from the mid-teens observed on the 23rd. Historical September averages near 23°C provide climatological context, yet small differences in boundary-layer moisture or exact timing of clearing could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Traders appear to price this narrow uncertainty band evenly across central outcomes, with minimal probability assigned to extremes given the short-range stability of the forecast.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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