Trader-implied probabilities remain evenly distributed across 29–35°C because short-term forecasts for Kuala Lumpur on September 25 carry high uncertainty from afternoon convective thunderstorms and variable cloud cover typical of the equatorial Intertropical Convergence Zone. Official METMalaysia guidance projects a maximum near 34°C with isolated storms, while ensemble models show modest spread driven by local wind patterns, humidity above 70 percent, and the urban heat island effect that can add 2–4°C in built-up districts. Historical September averages center on 32–33°C highs, but day-to-day differences hinge on exact timing of precipitation and solar insolation. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs plus METMalaysia briefings expected in the next 48 hours will likely refine the range ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on September 25?
29°C 39%
34°C 39%
35°C 39%
33°C 23%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
39%
30°C
21%
31°C
20%
32°C
23%
33°C
23%
34°C
39%
35°C
39%
36°C or higher
<1%
29°C 39%
34°C 39%
35°C 39%
33°C 23%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
39%
30°C
21%
31°C
20%
32°C
23%
33°C
23%
34°C
39%
35°C
39%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Trader-implied probabilities remain evenly distributed across 29–35°C because short-term forecasts for Kuala Lumpur on September 25 carry high uncertainty from afternoon convective thunderstorms and variable cloud cover typical of the equatorial Intertropical Convergence Zone. Official METMalaysia guidance projects a maximum near 34°C with isolated storms, while ensemble models show modest spread driven by local wind patterns, humidity above 70 percent, and the urban heat island effect that can add 2–4°C in built-up districts. Historical September averages center on 32–33°C highs, but day-to-day differences hinge on exact timing of precipitation and solar insolation. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs plus METMalaysia briefings expected in the next 48 hours will likely refine the range ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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