Recent forecast models from sources like Météo-France and ECMWF consensus indicate a high near 25–26°C in Paris on September 23 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This positions 26°C as the market leader at 46.5% implied probability, just ahead of 25°C. The outcome hinges on afternoon maximum readings amid stable high pressure, with historical September averages near 20°C providing context for the above-normal warmth. Minor model spread in boundary-layer heating and cloud cover creates the tight spread between leading outcomes, while updated runs ahead of resolution could shift probabilities if winds strengthen or insolation changes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Paris on September 23?
Highest temperature in Paris on September 23?
26°C 47%
25°C 38%
24°C 10%
27°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 23, 2026
21°C or below
3%
22°C
4%
23°C
7%
24°C
10%
25°C
38%
26°C
47%
27°C
8%
28°C
3%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
3%
26°C 47%
25°C 38%
24°C 10%
27°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 23, 2026
21°C or below
$5 ปริมาณ
3%
22°C
$5 ปริมาณ
4%
23°C
$5 ปริมาณ
7%
24°C
$260 ปริมาณ
10%
25°C
$224 ปริมาณ
38%
26°C
$749 ปริมาณ
47%
27°C
$79 ปริมาณ
8%
28°C
$63 ปริมาณ
3%
29°C
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
30°C
$5 ปริมาณ
3%
31°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like Météo-France and ECMWF consensus indicate a high near 25–26°C in Paris on September 23 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This positions 26°C as the market leader at 46.5% implied probability, just ahead of 25°C. The outcome hinges on afternoon maximum readings amid stable high pressure, with historical September averages near 20°C providing context for the above-normal warmth. Minor model spread in boundary-layer heating and cloud cover creates the tight spread between leading outcomes, while updated runs ahead of resolution could shift probabilities if winds strengthen or insolation changes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 21, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,404วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 21, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like Météo-France and ECMWF consensus indicate a high near 25–26°C in Paris on September 23 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This positions 26°C as the market leader at 46.5% implied probability, just ahead of 25°C. The outcome hinges on afternoon maximum readings amid stable high pressure, with historical September averages near 20°C providing context for the above-normal warmth. Minor model spread in boundary-layer heating and cloud cover creates the tight spread between leading outcomes, while updated runs ahead of resolution could shift probabilities if winds strengthen or insolation changes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,404วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 21, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like Météo-France and ECMWF consensus indicate a high near 25–26°C in Paris on September 23 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This positions 26°C as the market leader at 46.5% implied probability, just ahead of 25°C. The outcome hinges on afternoon maximum readings amid stable high pressure, with historical September averages near 20°C providing context for the above-normal warmth. Minor model spread in boundary-layer heating and cloud cover creates the tight spread between leading outcomes, while updated runs ahead of resolution could shift probabilities if winds strengthen or insolation changes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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