National Weather Service forecasts from the Dallas/Fort Worth office project a mostly sunny Wednesday with highs in the mid-90s, driven by east-to-northeast winds of 5–10 mph under stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover or moisture. Model consensus supports a peak temperature near 95°F, consistent with late-September climatology that places the daily average high around 92°F, though recent warm advection has kept readings 2–4°F above normal. This positions the 94–95°F bin as the market favorite at 43.5% implied probability, followed by 92–93°F and 96–97°F, reflecting the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range temperature outlooks where ensemble spreads remain tight ahead of the 24-hour verification window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Dallas on September 23?
94-95°F 46%
92-93°F 32%
96-97°F 22%
90-91°F 4%
85°F or below
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
4%
92-93°F
32%
94-95°F
46%
96-97°F
22%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 46%
92-93°F 32%
96-97°F 22%
90-91°F 4%
85°F or below
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
4%
92-93°F
32%
94-95°F
46%
96-97°F
22%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 21, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts from the Dallas/Fort Worth office project a mostly sunny Wednesday with highs in the mid-90s, driven by east-to-northeast winds of 5–10 mph under stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover or moisture. Model consensus supports a peak temperature near 95°F, consistent with late-September climatology that places the daily average high around 92°F, though recent warm advection has kept readings 2–4°F above normal. This positions the 94–95°F bin as the market favorite at 43.5% implied probability, followed by 92–93°F and 96–97°F, reflecting the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range temperature outlooks where ensemble spreads remain tight ahead of the 24-hour verification window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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