Recent forecast model runs show notable divergence for Buenos Aires overnight lows on September 23, with ECMWF and similar guidance pointing to minimums near 8°C under partly cloudy skies and northerly flow, while other ensembles allow for stronger radiative cooling or a brief cooler air intrusion that could push readings to 5–7°C or lower. Current conditions on September 22 feature mild afternoon highs around 14–16°C with southwesterly winds shifting northerly, limiting strong cold advection. Historical September minima average near 8–10°C, but short-term variability from cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing creates the observed market balance between sub-4°C and 13°C+ outcomes. Updated model guidance and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional briefings over the next 12–24 hours will likely resolve much of the spread ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 23?
13°C or higher 80%
3°C or below 42%
11°C 38%
9°C 37%
3°C or below
42%
4°C
22%
5°C
23%
6°C
23%
7°C
19%
8°C
18%
9°C
37%
10°C
33%
11°C
38%
12°C
14%
13°C or higher
80%
13°C or higher 80%
3°C or below 42%
11°C 38%
9°C 37%
3°C or below
42%
4°C
22%
5°C
23%
6°C
23%
7°C
19%
8°C
18%
9°C
37%
10°C
33%
11°C
38%
12°C
14%
13°C or higher
80%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 21, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs show notable divergence for Buenos Aires overnight lows on September 23, with ECMWF and similar guidance pointing to minimums near 8°C under partly cloudy skies and northerly flow, while other ensembles allow for stronger radiative cooling or a brief cooler air intrusion that could push readings to 5–7°C or lower. Current conditions on September 22 feature mild afternoon highs around 14–16°C with southwesterly winds shifting northerly, limiting strong cold advection. Historical September minima average near 8–10°C, but short-term variability from cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing creates the observed market balance between sub-4°C and 13°C+ outcomes. Updated model guidance and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional briefings over the next 12–24 hours will likely resolve much of the spread ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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