Current forecast consensus from NWS and multiple models points to an overnight low in the mid-50s Fahrenheit for New York City on September 24, driven by persistent northeasterly winds of 10–20 mph advecting cooler maritime air under partly to mostly cloudy skies. This setup limits radiational cooling while keeping daytime highs near 66–68°F, positioning the 54–55°F range as the strongest market-implied outcome at 38% probability. Traders appear to discount warmer bins above 60°F or colder extremes below 50°F given the stable pattern and absence of significant model shifts in the latest runs, with resolution hinging on official Central Park observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in NYC on September 24?
Lowest temperature in NYC on September 24?
54-55°F 40%
66°F or higher 39%
47°F or below 38%
48-49°F 36%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 24, 2026
47°F or below
38%
48-49°F
36%
50-51°F
25%
52-53°F
32%
54-55°F
40%
56-57°F
25%
58-59°F
17%
60-61°F
36%
62-63°F
36%
64-65°F
36%
66°F or higher
39%
54-55°F 40%
66°F or higher 39%
47°F or below 38%
48-49°F 36%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 24, 2026
47°F or below
$0 ปริมาณ
38%
48-49°F
$0 ปริมาณ
36%
50-51°F
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
52-53°F
$0 ปริมาณ
32%
54-55°F
$81 ปริมาณ
40%
56-57°F
$170 ปริมาณ
25%
58-59°F
$0 ปริมาณ
17%
60-61°F
$5 ปริมาณ
36%
62-63°F
$0 ปริมาณ
36%
64-65°F
$0 ปริมาณ
36%
66°F or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from NWS and multiple models points to an overnight low in the mid-50s Fahrenheit for New York City on September 24, driven by persistent northeasterly winds of 10–20 mph advecting cooler maritime air under partly to mostly cloudy skies. This setup limits radiational cooling while keeping daytime highs near 66–68°F, positioning the 54–55°F range as the strongest market-implied outcome at 38% probability. Traders appear to discount warmer bins above 60°F or colder extremes below 50°F given the stable pattern and absence of significant model shifts in the latest runs, with resolution hinging on official Central Park observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 22, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$256วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 22, 2026, 3:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from NWS and multiple models points to an overnight low in the mid-50s Fahrenheit for New York City on September 24, driven by persistent northeasterly winds of 10–20 mph advecting cooler maritime air under partly to mostly cloudy skies. This setup limits radiational cooling while keeping daytime highs near 66–68°F, positioning the 54–55°F range as the strongest market-implied outcome at 38% probability. Traders appear to discount warmer bins above 60°F or colder extremes below 50°F given the stable pattern and absence of significant model shifts in the latest runs, with resolution hinging on official Central Park observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$256วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 22, 2026, 3:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from NWS and multiple models points to an overnight low in the mid-50s Fahrenheit for New York City on September 24, driven by persistent northeasterly winds of 10–20 mph advecting cooler maritime air under partly to mostly cloudy skies. This setup limits radiational cooling while keeping daytime highs near 66–68°F, positioning the 54–55°F range as the strongest market-implied outcome at 38% probability. Traders appear to discount warmer bins above 60°F or colder extremes below 50°F given the stable pattern and absence of significant model shifts in the latest runs, with resolution hinging on official Central Park observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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