National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on September 24 project overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 50s Fahrenheit, driven by persistent onshore flow from the Pacific and a compressed marine layer that moderates temperatures near the coast. Model consensus shows partly cloudy conditions with light west-to-southwest winds preventing significant radiational cooling, consistent with September climatology where average lows hover near 55–56°F. Recent observations from the prior 48 hours confirm stable high pressure and no incoming troughs or heat events to alter this pattern, supporting trader positioning around the 56–57°F bin as the implied probability leader while leaving room for minor forecast revisions from updated runs.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in San Francisco on September 24?
Lowest temperature in San Francisco on September 24?
56-57°F 47%
49°F or below 45%
68°F or higher 42%
50-51°F 39%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 24, 2026
49°F or below
45%
50-51°F
39%
52-53°F
21%
54-55°F
23%
56-57°F
47%
58-59°F
22%
60-61°F
21%
62-63°F
20%
64-65°F
5%
66-67°F
5%
68°F or higher
42%
56-57°F 47%
49°F or below 45%
68°F or higher 42%
50-51°F 39%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 24, 2026
49°F or below
$10 ปริมาณ
45%
50-51°F
$10 ปริมาณ
39%
52-53°F
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
54-55°F
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
56-57°F
$28 ปริมาณ
47%
58-59°F
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
60-61°F
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
62-63°F
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
64-65°F
$10 ปริมาณ
5%
66-67°F
$10 ปริมาณ
5%
68°F or higher
$10 ปริมาณ
42%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on September 24 project overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 50s Fahrenheit, driven by persistent onshore flow from the Pacific and a compressed marine layer that moderates temperatures near the coast. Model consensus shows partly cloudy conditions with light west-to-southwest winds preventing significant radiational cooling, consistent with September climatology where average lows hover near 55–56°F. Recent observations from the prior 48 hours confirm stable high pressure and no incoming troughs or heat events to alter this pattern, supporting trader positioning around the 56–57°F bin as the implied probability leader while leaving room for minor forecast revisions from updated runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 22, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$78วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 22, 2026, 7:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on September 24 project overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 50s Fahrenheit, driven by persistent onshore flow from the Pacific and a compressed marine layer that moderates temperatures near the coast. Model consensus shows partly cloudy conditions with light west-to-southwest winds preventing significant radiational cooling, consistent with September climatology where average lows hover near 55–56°F. Recent observations from the prior 48 hours confirm stable high pressure and no incoming troughs or heat events to alter this pattern, supporting trader positioning around the 56–57°F bin as the implied probability leader while leaving room for minor forecast revisions from updated runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$78วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 22, 2026, 7:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on September 24 project overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 50s Fahrenheit, driven by persistent onshore flow from the Pacific and a compressed marine layer that moderates temperatures near the coast. Model consensus shows partly cloudy conditions with light west-to-southwest winds preventing significant radiational cooling, consistent with September climatology where average lows hover near 55–56°F. Recent observations from the prior 48 hours confirm stable high pressure and no incoming troughs or heat events to alter this pattern, supporting trader positioning around the 56–57°F bin as the implied probability leader while leaving room for minor forecast revisions from updated runs.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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