**Current forecast models from regional meteorological sources point to an overnight low of 24–25°C in Panama City on September 24, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes.** Persistent tropical moisture, high humidity near 80–90%, and light variable winds are limiting overnight radiative cooling during the rainy season, while scattered thunderstorms and cloud cover further moderate temperature drops. Historical September averages hover around 21–24°C, but recent conditions have kept readings slightly elevated. Model runs show minor divergence on exact minimum depending on precipitation timing and cloud persistence, creating the tight 47.5%–46.0% implied probabilities and leaving room for small forecast revisions before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Panama City on September 24?
25°C 47%
24°C 45%
26°C 27%
27°C 22%
19°C or below
15%
20°C
19%
21°C
15%
22°C
17%
23°C
20%
24°C
45%
25°C
47%
26°C
27%
27°C
22%
28°C
15%
29°C or higher
10%
25°C 47%
24°C 45%
26°C 27%
27°C 22%
19°C or below
15%
20°C
19%
21°C
15%
22°C
17%
23°C
20%
24°C
45%
25°C
47%
26°C
27%
27°C
22%
28°C
15%
29°C or higher
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 22, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47de9d...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47de9d...**Current forecast models from regional meteorological sources point to an overnight low of 24–25°C in Panama City on September 24, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes.** Persistent tropical moisture, high humidity near 80–90%, and light variable winds are limiting overnight radiative cooling during the rainy season, while scattered thunderstorms and cloud cover further moderate temperature drops. Historical September averages hover around 21–24°C, but recent conditions have kept readings slightly elevated. Model runs show minor divergence on exact minimum depending on precipitation timing and cloud persistence, creating the tight 47.5%–46.0% implied probabilities and leaving room for small forecast revisions before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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