Recent National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for San Francisco on September 25 point to sunny skies with a high near 69–71°F, driven by persistent onshore westerly flow and a moderating marine layer typical of late September. This consensus aligns with climatological norms (average high ~71°F) and recent model runs showing limited warming potential from light winds and partial afternoon clearing. Trader emphasis on the 70–71°F and 72–73°F bins reflects these projections, while lower probabilities for 74°F+ or sub-68°F outcomes capture residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any coastal stratus. Updated NWS briefings and morning observations on the 24th–25th will provide the final data inputs before market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in San Francisco on September 25?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on September 25?
70-71°F 41%
72-73°F 26%
68-69°F 22%
76-77°F 17%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 25, 2026
61°F or below
4%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
5%
66-67°F
9%
68-69°F
22%
70-71°F
41%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
6%
80°F or higher
5%
70-71°F 41%
72-73°F 26%
68-69°F 22%
76-77°F 17%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 25, 2026
61°F or below
$10 ปริมาณ
4%
62-63°F
$74 ปริมาณ
3%
64-65°F
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
66-67°F
$0 ปริมาณ
9%
68-69°F
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
70-71°F
$9 ปริมาณ
41%
72-73°F
$44 ปริมาณ
26%
74-75°F
$0 ปริมาณ
9%
76-77°F
$10 ปริมาณ
17%
78-79°F
$10 ปริมาณ
6%
80°F or higher
$10 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for San Francisco on September 25 point to sunny skies with a high near 69–71°F, driven by persistent onshore westerly flow and a moderating marine layer typical of late September. This consensus aligns with climatological norms (average high ~71°F) and recent model runs showing limited warming potential from light winds and partial afternoon clearing. Trader emphasis on the 70–71°F and 72–73°F bins reflects these projections, while lower probabilities for 74°F+ or sub-68°F outcomes capture residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any coastal stratus. Updated NWS briefings and morning observations on the 24th–25th will provide the final data inputs before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 23, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$167วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 23, 2026, 7:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for San Francisco on September 25 point to sunny skies with a high near 69–71°F, driven by persistent onshore westerly flow and a moderating marine layer typical of late September. This consensus aligns with climatological norms (average high ~71°F) and recent model runs showing limited warming potential from light winds and partial afternoon clearing. Trader emphasis on the 70–71°F and 72–73°F bins reflects these projections, while lower probabilities for 74°F+ or sub-68°F outcomes capture residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any coastal stratus. Updated NWS briefings and morning observations on the 24th–25th will provide the final data inputs before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$167วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 23, 2026, 7:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47de9d...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for San Francisco on September 25 point to sunny skies with a high near 69–71°F, driven by persistent onshore westerly flow and a moderating marine layer typical of late September. This consensus aligns with climatological norms (average high ~71°F) and recent model runs showing limited warming potential from light winds and partial afternoon clearing. Trader emphasis on the 70–71°F and 72–73°F bins reflects these projections, while lower probabilities for 74°F+ or sub-68°F outcomes capture residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any coastal stratus. Updated NWS briefings and morning observations on the 24th–25th will provide the final data inputs before market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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