Recent National Weather Service and local forecasts indicate a Friday high near 76-77°F for Denver under partly cloudy skies following Thursday showers, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 72-77°F bins. Post-frontal northerly flow and gradual southerly return are promoting modest diurnal warming after a cooler spell, with model consensus on limited afternoon cloud cover and light winds limiting further intensification. Historical late-September averages near 75°F provide context, while minor spread in ensemble guidance on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing creates the narrow differentiation between 74-75°F and 76-77°F outcomes. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will likely narrow resolution uncertainty before market close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Denver on September 25?
74-75°F 33%
76-77°F 26%
70-71°F 22%
78-79°F 20%
67°F or below
6%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
22%
72-73°F
29%
74-75°F
33%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
12%
84-85°F
5%
86°F or higher
6%
74-75°F 33%
76-77°F 26%
70-71°F 22%
78-79°F 20%
67°F or below
6%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
22%
72-73°F
29%
74-75°F
33%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
12%
84-85°F
5%
86°F or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 23, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and local forecasts indicate a Friday high near 76-77°F for Denver under partly cloudy skies following Thursday showers, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 72-77°F bins. Post-frontal northerly flow and gradual southerly return are promoting modest diurnal warming after a cooler spell, with model consensus on limited afternoon cloud cover and light winds limiting further intensification. Historical late-September averages near 75°F provide context, while minor spread in ensemble guidance on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing creates the narrow differentiation between 74-75°F and 76-77°F outcomes. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will likely narrow resolution uncertainty before market close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย