Persistent southwest monsoon flow and scattered thunderstorm activity are the dominant factors capping Manila's peak temperatures near 31–33°C on September 23, aligning with the market's leading outcomes. Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate daytime maxima of 30–34°C amid partly to mostly cloudy skies, with rain and convection limiting solar heating and surface warming. Historical September averages hover near 32°C, but current model consensus shows no strong subsidence or clear-sky periods that would push readings higher. Traders appear to weigh the high probability of afternoon convective clouds and showers against the slim chance of brief clear intervals allowing brief spikes to 34–35°C. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Manila on September 23?
Highest temperature in Manila on September 23?
33°C 39%
32°C 38%
31°C 30%
30°C 22%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 23, 2026
28°C or below
4%
29°C
7%
30°C
22%
31°C
30%
32°C
38%
33°C
39%
34°C
7%
35°C
19%
36°C
15%
37°C
4%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 39%
32°C 38%
31°C 30%
30°C 22%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 23, 2026
28°C or below
$5 ปริมาณ
4%
29°C
$28 ปริมาณ
7%
30°C
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
31°C
$5 ปริมาณ
30%
32°C
$84 ปริมาณ
38%
33°C
$10 ปริมาณ
39%
34°C
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
35°C
$5 ปริมาณ
19%
36°C
$10 ปริมาณ
15%
37°C
$5 ปริมาณ
4%
38°C or higher
$11 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon flow and scattered thunderstorm activity are the dominant factors capping Manila's peak temperatures near 31–33°C on September 23, aligning with the market's leading outcomes. Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate daytime maxima of 30–34°C amid partly to mostly cloudy skies, with rain and convection limiting solar heating and surface warming. Historical September averages hover near 32°C, but current model consensus shows no strong subsidence or clear-sky periods that would push readings higher. Traders appear to weigh the high probability of afternoon convective clouds and showers against the slim chance of brief clear intervals allowing brief spikes to 34–35°C. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 21, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$163วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 21, 2026, 12:59 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon flow and scattered thunderstorm activity are the dominant factors capping Manila's peak temperatures near 31–33°C on September 23, aligning with the market's leading outcomes. Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate daytime maxima of 30–34°C amid partly to mostly cloudy skies, with rain and convection limiting solar heating and surface warming. Historical September averages hover near 32°C, but current model consensus shows no strong subsidence or clear-sky periods that would push readings higher. Traders appear to weigh the high probability of afternoon convective clouds and showers against the slim chance of brief clear intervals allowing brief spikes to 34–35°C. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$163วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 21, 2026, 12:59 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon flow and scattered thunderstorm activity are the dominant factors capping Manila's peak temperatures near 31–33°C on September 23, aligning with the market's leading outcomes. Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate daytime maxima of 30–34°C amid partly to mostly cloudy skies, with rain and convection limiting solar heating and surface warming. Historical September averages hover near 32°C, but current model consensus shows no strong subsidence or clear-sky periods that would push readings higher. Traders appear to weigh the high probability of afternoon convective clouds and showers against the slim chance of brief clear intervals allowing brief spikes to 34–35°C. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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