Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a high of 27–28°C in Chengdu on September 21, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly or variable winds under 10 km/h and minimal precipitation risk. Persistent cloud cover from upstream atmospheric patterns is limiting daytime heating, while any afternoon clearing could allow temperatures to briefly reach 29°C or higher. Historical late-September baselines for the Sichuan Basin average near 25–26°C, but current model runs show slightly warmer conditions due to a weak ridge influence. The tight spread in market-implied odds (27–30°C outcomes totaling over 60%) reflects uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, with new observational data and updated model guidance expected within 24–48 hours to refine the peak value.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 21?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 21?
29°C 23%
28°C 23%
27°C 21%
30°C 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 21, 2026
24°C or below
7%
25°C
8%
26°C
12%
27°C
21%
28°C
23%
29°C
23%
30°C
18%
31°C
3%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 23%
28°C 23%
27°C 21%
30°C 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 21, 2026
24°C or below
$19 ปริมาณ
7%
25°C
$12 ปริมาณ
8%
26°C
$12 ปริมาณ
12%
27°C
$15 ปริมาณ
21%
28°C
$60 ปริมาณ
23%
29°C
$38 ปริมาณ
23%
30°C
$225 ปริมาณ
18%
31°C
$211 ปริมาณ
3%
32°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
33°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
34°C or higher
$111 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a high of 27–28°C in Chengdu on September 21, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly or variable winds under 10 km/h and minimal precipitation risk. Persistent cloud cover from upstream atmospheric patterns is limiting daytime heating, while any afternoon clearing could allow temperatures to briefly reach 29°C or higher. Historical late-September baselines for the Sichuan Basin average near 25–26°C, but current model runs show slightly warmer conditions due to a weak ridge influence. The tight spread in market-implied odds (27–30°C outcomes totaling over 60%) reflects uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, with new observational data and updated model guidance expected within 24–48 hours to refine the peak value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$703วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a high of 27–28°C in Chengdu on September 21, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly or variable winds under 10 km/h and minimal precipitation risk. Persistent cloud cover from upstream atmospheric patterns is limiting daytime heating, while any afternoon clearing could allow temperatures to briefly reach 29°C or higher. Historical late-September baselines for the Sichuan Basin average near 25–26°C, but current model runs show slightly warmer conditions due to a weak ridge influence. The tight spread in market-implied odds (27–30°C outcomes totaling over 60%) reflects uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, with new observational data and updated model guidance expected within 24–48 hours to refine the peak value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$703วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a high of 27–28°C in Chengdu on September 21, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly or variable winds under 10 km/h and minimal precipitation risk. Persistent cloud cover from upstream atmospheric patterns is limiting daytime heating, while any afternoon clearing could allow temperatures to briefly reach 29°C or higher. Historical late-September baselines for the Sichuan Basin average near 25–26°C, but current model runs show slightly warmer conditions due to a weak ridge influence. The tight spread in market-implied odds (27–30°C outcomes totaling over 60%) reflects uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, with new observational data and updated model guidance expected within 24–48 hours to refine the peak value.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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