Latest numerical weather prediction models, including runs from GFS and ECMWF, indicate a daytime maximum near 26°C in Mexico City on September 21 under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and limited convective activity. This aligns with the elevated altitude of roughly 2,300 meters, which moderates temperatures relative to surrounding lowlands, and the typical late-September pattern of reduced monsoon moisture allowing greater solar heating. Recent observations from September 20, with highs around 23–24°C amid scattered drizzle, support modest warming ahead of any frontal passage. Trader consensus around 26°C (50.5% implied probability) reflects model agreement on this range, while the 34.5% on 27°C or higher accounts for potential model spread or clearer conditions boosting insolation. Resolution hinges on the official maximum recorded at representative stations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Mexico City on September 21?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 21?
26°C 51%
27°C or higher 35%
25°C 10%
24°C 4.5%
ใหม่
$16,751 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$16,751 ปริมาณ
Sep 21, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
10%
26°C
51%
27°C or higher
35%
26°C 51%
27°C or higher 35%
25°C 10%
24°C 4.5%
ใหม่
$16,751 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$16,751 ปริมาณ
Sep 21, 2026
17°C or below
$559 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$16 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$31 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$31 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$41 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$41 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$1,646 ปริมาณ
2%
24°C
$743 ปริมาณ
4%
25°C
$3,752 ปริมาณ
10%
26°C
$3,124 ปริมาณ
51%
27°C or higher
$6,767 ปริมาณ
35%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including runs from GFS and ECMWF, indicate a daytime maximum near 26°C in Mexico City on September 21 under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and limited convective activity. This aligns with the elevated altitude of roughly 2,300 meters, which moderates temperatures relative to surrounding lowlands, and the typical late-September pattern of reduced monsoon moisture allowing greater solar heating. Recent observations from September 20, with highs around 23–24°C amid scattered drizzle, support modest warming ahead of any frontal passage. Trader consensus around 26°C (50.5% implied probability) reflects model agreement on this range, while the 34.5% on 27°C or higher accounts for potential model spread or clearer conditions boosting insolation. Resolution hinges on the official maximum recorded at representative stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 19, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,751วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 19, 2026, 8:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including runs from GFS and ECMWF, indicate a daytime maximum near 26°C in Mexico City on September 21 under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and limited convective activity. This aligns with the elevated altitude of roughly 2,300 meters, which moderates temperatures relative to surrounding lowlands, and the typical late-September pattern of reduced monsoon moisture allowing greater solar heating. Recent observations from September 20, with highs around 23–24°C amid scattered drizzle, support modest warming ahead of any frontal passage. Trader consensus around 26°C (50.5% implied probability) reflects model agreement on this range, while the 34.5% on 27°C or higher accounts for potential model spread or clearer conditions boosting insolation. Resolution hinges on the official maximum recorded at representative stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,751วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 19, 2026, 8:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models, including runs from GFS and ECMWF, indicate a daytime maximum near 26°C in Mexico City on September 21 under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and limited convective activity. This aligns with the elevated altitude of roughly 2,300 meters, which moderates temperatures relative to surrounding lowlands, and the typical late-September pattern of reduced monsoon moisture allowing greater solar heating. Recent observations from September 20, with highs around 23–24°C amid scattered drizzle, support modest warming ahead of any frontal passage. Trader consensus around 26°C (50.5% implied probability) reflects model agreement on this range, while the 34.5% on 27°C or higher accounts for potential model spread or clearer conditions boosting insolation. Resolution hinges on the official maximum recorded at representative stations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย