**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Mexico City on September 21 centers on the close contest between a 13°C outcome and bins at or below 9–12°C, reflecting uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling.** At roughly 2,240 meters elevation, the city experiences rapid nocturnal temperature drops once solar heating ends, modulated by September’s typical cloud cover and humidity from the rainy season’s tail end. Official station data and model consensus pointed to a minimum near 13–15°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, limiting extreme cooling compared to clearer, drier nights that can push readings toward the 10°C climatological average. Recent atmospheric patterns, including variable moisture and urban heat island effects, created a narrow range where small forecast revisions in dew point or cloud timing could shift the final recorded low across key thresholds. Market-implied odds near 50% capture this genuine variability ahead of final official verification from monitoring agencies.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Mexico City on September 21?
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on September 21?
7°C or below 93%
9°C 93%
10°C 93%
11°C 93%
$428 ปริมาณ
$428 ปริมาณ
Sep 21, 2026
7°C or below
93%
8°C
90%
9°C
93%
10°C
93%
11°C
93%
12°C
90%
13°C
-
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
7°C or below 93%
9°C 93%
10°C 93%
11°C 93%
$428 ปริมาณ
$428 ปริมาณ
Sep 21, 2026
7°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
93%
8°C
$15 ปริมาณ
90%
9°C
$0 ปริมาณ
93%
10°C
$0 ปริมาณ
93%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
93%
12°C
$16 ปริมาณ
90%
13°C
$140 ปริมาณ
-
14°C
$51 ปริมาณ
<1%
15°C
$56 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C
$75 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C or higher
$75 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Mexico City on September 21 centers on the close contest between a 13°C outcome and bins at or below 9–12°C, reflecting uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling.** At roughly 2,240 meters elevation, the city experiences rapid nocturnal temperature drops once solar heating ends, modulated by September’s typical cloud cover and humidity from the rainy season’s tail end. Official station data and model consensus pointed to a minimum near 13–15°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, limiting extreme cooling compared to clearer, drier nights that can push readings toward the 10°C climatological average. Recent atmospheric patterns, including variable moisture and urban heat island effects, created a narrow range where small forecast revisions in dew point or cloud timing could shift the final recorded low across key thresholds. Market-implied odds near 50% capture this genuine variability ahead of final official verification from monitoring agencies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 19, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$428วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 19, 2026, 8:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Mexico City on September 21 centers on the close contest between a 13°C outcome and bins at or below 9–12°C, reflecting uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling.** At roughly 2,240 meters elevation, the city experiences rapid nocturnal temperature drops once solar heating ends, modulated by September’s typical cloud cover and humidity from the rainy season’s tail end. Official station data and model consensus pointed to a minimum near 13–15°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, limiting extreme cooling compared to clearer, drier nights that can push readings toward the 10°C climatological average. Recent atmospheric patterns, including variable moisture and urban heat island effects, created a narrow range where small forecast revisions in dew point or cloud timing could shift the final recorded low across key thresholds. Market-implied odds near 50% capture this genuine variability ahead of final official verification from monitoring agencies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$428วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 19, 2026, 8:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Mexico City on September 21 centers on the close contest between a 13°C outcome and bins at or below 9–12°C, reflecting uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling.** At roughly 2,240 meters elevation, the city experiences rapid nocturnal temperature drops once solar heating ends, modulated by September’s typical cloud cover and humidity from the rainy season’s tail end. Official station data and model consensus pointed to a minimum near 13–15°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, limiting extreme cooling compared to clearer, drier nights that can push readings toward the 10°C climatological average. Recent atmospheric patterns, including variable moisture and urban heat island effects, created a narrow range where small forecast revisions in dew point or cloud timing could shift the final recorded low across key thresholds. Market-implied odds near 50% capture this genuine variability ahead of final official verification from monitoring agencies.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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