Recent short-range forecast models show notable divergence for Milan's overnight minimum on September 24, with some guidance indicating modest cooling from northerly flow or clearer skies under high pressure that could push lows toward 13–15°C, while others maintain milder conditions near 16–18°C amid lingering warmth. This split underpins the near-even market-implied odds between extremes of 8°C or below and 18°C or higher. Key variables include evolving steering patterns, boundary-layer mixing, and any late adjustments in ECMWF or GFS runs expected before resolution. Historical September minima for the region average near 14–16°C, providing context for the current uncertainty as traders weigh the latest observational trends and ensemble spreads.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Milan on September 24?
8°C or below 100%
18°C or higher 98%
11°C 40%
12°C 40%
8°C or below
100%
9°C
39%
10°C
39%
11°C
40%
12°C
40%
13°C
30%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C or higher
98%
8°C or below 100%
18°C or higher 98%
11°C 40%
12°C 40%
8°C or below
100%
9°C
39%
10°C
39%
11°C
40%
12°C
40%
13°C
30%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C or higher
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecast models show notable divergence for Milan's overnight minimum on September 24, with some guidance indicating modest cooling from northerly flow or clearer skies under high pressure that could push lows toward 13–15°C, while others maintain milder conditions near 16–18°C amid lingering warmth. This split underpins the near-even market-implied odds between extremes of 8°C or below and 18°C or higher. Key variables include evolving steering patterns, boundary-layer mixing, and any late adjustments in ECMWF or GFS runs expected before resolution. Historical September minima for the region average near 14–16°C, providing context for the current uncertainty as traders weigh the latest observational trends and ensemble spreads.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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