Recent forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles indicate overnight lows near 26–27°C on September 22, supported by stable high pressure, light easterly winds, and partly cloudy conditions limiting radiative cooling. These readings sit slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological normal minimum of about 24°C for the date, reflecting persistent warm sea surface temperatures in the region. Market-implied odds concentrate on 27°C as the leading outcome, consistent with the consensus across model runs showing minimal variability in the diurnal minimum. Updated forecasts or surface observations through the evening of September 21 could shift probabilities if wind speeds or cloud cover deviate from current projections.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 22?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 22?
27°C 51%
26°C 29%
28°C 16%
25°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 22, 2026
22°C or below
2%
23°C
5%
24°C
5%
25°C
8%
26°C
29%
27°C
51%
28°C
16%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
27°C 51%
26°C 29%
28°C 16%
25°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 22, 2026
22°C or below
$60 ปริมาณ
2%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
25°C
$80 ปริมาณ
8%
26°C
$353 ปริมาณ
29%
27°C
$548 ปริมาณ
51%
28°C
$740 ปริมาณ
16%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
30°C
$190 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$40 ปริมาณ
1%
32°C or higher
$40 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles indicate overnight lows near 26–27°C on September 22, supported by stable high pressure, light easterly winds, and partly cloudy conditions limiting radiative cooling. These readings sit slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological normal minimum of about 24°C for the date, reflecting persistent warm sea surface temperatures in the region. Market-implied odds concentrate on 27°C as the leading outcome, consistent with the consensus across model runs showing minimal variability in the diurnal minimum. Updated forecasts or surface observations through the evening of September 21 could shift probabilities if wind speeds or cloud cover deviate from current projections.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,051วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles indicate overnight lows near 26–27°C on September 22, supported by stable high pressure, light easterly winds, and partly cloudy conditions limiting radiative cooling. These readings sit slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological normal minimum of about 24°C for the date, reflecting persistent warm sea surface temperatures in the region. Market-implied odds concentrate on 27°C as the leading outcome, consistent with the consensus across model runs showing minimal variability in the diurnal minimum. Updated forecasts or surface observations through the evening of September 21 could shift probabilities if wind speeds or cloud cover deviate from current projections.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,051วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles indicate overnight lows near 26–27°C on September 22, supported by stable high pressure, light easterly winds, and partly cloudy conditions limiting radiative cooling. These readings sit slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological normal minimum of about 24°C for the date, reflecting persistent warm sea surface temperatures in the region. Market-implied odds concentrate on 27°C as the leading outcome, consistent with the consensus across model runs showing minimal variability in the diurnal minimum. Updated forecasts or surface observations through the evening of September 21 could shift probabilities if wind speeds or cloud cover deviate from current projections.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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