**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources project a high of 96–97°F for Houston on September 22 under sunny skies with light southeast winds and minimal cloud cover.** This aligns with the market’s leading 44% implied probability for that bin, as persistent high pressure and a lingering warm air mass have sustained above-normal temperatures through mid-September. Recent NWS updates show stable guidance with highs in the mid-to-upper 90s and only slight afternoon thunderstorm chances that are unlikely to cap the daily maximum. Historical September averages near 88°F highlight the current anomaly, while the expected pattern shift and cooler air arrive after the 22nd. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus official forecasts heavily, with limited room in pricing for outliers above 100°F or below 94°F given the tight model agreement.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Houston on September 22?
Highest temperature in Houston on September 22?
96-97°F 44%
94-95°F 36%
92-93°F 18%
100-101°F 18%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 22, 2026
87°F or below
5%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
10%
92-93°F
18%
94-95°F
36%
96-97°F
44%
98-99°F
17%
100-101°F
18%
102-103°F
10%
104-105°F
5%
106°F or higher
5%
96-97°F 44%
94-95°F 36%
92-93°F 18%
100-101°F 18%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 22, 2026
87°F or below
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
88-89°F
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
90-91°F
$0 ปริมาณ
10%
92-93°F
$0 ปริมาณ
18%
94-95°F
$3 ปริมาณ
36%
96-97°F
$10 ปริมาณ
44%
98-99°F
$0 ปริมาณ
17%
100-101°F
$0 ปริมาณ
18%
102-103°F
$0 ปริมาณ
10%
104-105°F
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
106°F or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources project a high of 96–97°F for Houston on September 22 under sunny skies with light southeast winds and minimal cloud cover.** This aligns with the market’s leading 44% implied probability for that bin, as persistent high pressure and a lingering warm air mass have sustained above-normal temperatures through mid-September. Recent NWS updates show stable guidance with highs in the mid-to-upper 90s and only slight afternoon thunderstorm chances that are unlikely to cap the daily maximum. Historical September averages near 88°F highlight the current anomaly, while the expected pattern shift and cooler air arrive after the 22nd. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus official forecasts heavily, with limited room in pricing for outliers above 100°F or below 94°F given the tight model agreement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 20, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 20, 2026, 3:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources project a high of 96–97°F for Houston on September 22 under sunny skies with light southeast winds and minimal cloud cover.** This aligns with the market’s leading 44% implied probability for that bin, as persistent high pressure and a lingering warm air mass have sustained above-normal temperatures through mid-September. Recent NWS updates show stable guidance with highs in the mid-to-upper 90s and only slight afternoon thunderstorm chances that are unlikely to cap the daily maximum. Historical September averages near 88°F highlight the current anomaly, while the expected pattern shift and cooler air arrive after the 22nd. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus official forecasts heavily, with limited room in pricing for outliers above 100°F or below 94°F given the tight model agreement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 20, 2026, 3:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources project a high of 96–97°F for Houston on September 22 under sunny skies with light southeast winds and minimal cloud cover.** This aligns with the market’s leading 44% implied probability for that bin, as persistent high pressure and a lingering warm air mass have sustained above-normal temperatures through mid-September. Recent NWS updates show stable guidance with highs in the mid-to-upper 90s and only slight afternoon thunderstorm chances that are unlikely to cap the daily maximum. Historical September averages near 88°F highlight the current anomaly, while the expected pattern shift and cooler air arrive after the 22nd. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus official forecasts heavily, with limited room in pricing for outliers above 100°F or below 94°F given the tight model agreement.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย