Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a high of 28–29°C in Shanghai on September 20 under partly cloudy skies with moderating northeasterly winds of 8–11 km/h and low precipitation chances. These conditions align with late-summer climatology, where daily maxima typically range 27–30°C amid transitional autumn patterns. Trader consensus, reflected in the 51.5% implied probability for 28°C and 38% for 29°C, incorporates minor model spread on afternoon peak readings and potential urban heat effects, with lower odds assigned to outliers above 30°C given stable steering flow. Updated model runs and official briefings expected overnight will refine the final observed maximum used for market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 20?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 20?
28°C 51%
29°C 40%
27°C 6%
30°C 6%
ใหม่
$14,396 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$14,396 ปริมาณ
Sep 20, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
6%
28°C
51%
29°C
40%
30°C
6%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
28°C 51%
29°C 40%
27°C 6%
30°C 6%
ใหม่
$14,396 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$14,396 ปริมาณ
Sep 20, 2026
25°C or below
$250 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$1,130 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$2,309 ปริมาณ
6%
28°C
$3,566 ปริมาณ
51%
29°C
$3,198 ปริมาณ
40%
30°C
$1,492 ปริมาณ
6%
31°C
$995 ปริมาณ
2%
32°C
$822 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C
$360 ปริมาณ
<1%
34°C
$145 ปริมาณ
<1%
35°C or higher
$203 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a high of 28–29°C in Shanghai on September 20 under partly cloudy skies with moderating northeasterly winds of 8–11 km/h and low precipitation chances. These conditions align with late-summer climatology, where daily maxima typically range 27–30°C amid transitional autumn patterns. Trader consensus, reflected in the 51.5% implied probability for 28°C and 38% for 29°C, incorporates minor model spread on afternoon peak readings and potential urban heat effects, with lower odds assigned to outliers above 30°C given stable steering flow. Updated model runs and official briefings expected overnight will refine the final observed maximum used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,396วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a high of 28–29°C in Shanghai on September 20 under partly cloudy skies with moderating northeasterly winds of 8–11 km/h and low precipitation chances. These conditions align with late-summer climatology, where daily maxima typically range 27–30°C amid transitional autumn patterns. Trader consensus, reflected in the 51.5% implied probability for 28°C and 38% for 29°C, incorporates minor model spread on afternoon peak readings and potential urban heat effects, with lower odds assigned to outliers above 30°C given stable steering flow. Updated model runs and official briefings expected overnight will refine the final observed maximum used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,396วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a high of 28–29°C in Shanghai on September 20 under partly cloudy skies with moderating northeasterly winds of 8–11 km/h and low precipitation chances. These conditions align with late-summer climatology, where daily maxima typically range 27–30°C amid transitional autumn patterns. Trader consensus, reflected in the 51.5% implied probability for 28°C and 38% for 29°C, incorporates minor model spread on afternoon peak readings and potential urban heat effects, with lower odds assigned to outliers above 30°C given stable steering flow. Updated model runs and official briefings expected overnight will refine the final observed maximum used for market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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