**Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble model guidance position a 21–23°C maximum as the most probable outcome for London on September 19, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 22°C.** Southwesterly flow across the UK is advecting mild maritime air, while increasing cloud cover and a narrow band of light rain or drizzle during the afternoon are expected to limit further warming and cap the peak near or slightly below seasonal norms. Model runs show limited spread in the afternoon maximum, with GFS and UKMO guidance converging on highs of 21–23°C under mostly overcast skies and moderate winds. The primary near-term catalyst remains the next Met Office update and any late adjustments to the timing or intensity of the rain band, which could shift the realized high by 1–2°C depending on cloud breaks or clearance. Traders appear to be pricing the narrow consensus range rather than outlier scenarios.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in London on September 19?
Highest temperature in London on September 19?
22°C 52%
21°C 26%
23°C 20%
24°C 4%
ใหม่
$10,604 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$10,604 ปริมาณ
Sep 19, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
3%
21°C
26%
22°C
52%
23°C
20%
24°C
4%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
22°C 52%
21°C 26%
23°C 20%
24°C 4%
ใหม่
$10,604 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$10,604 ปริมาณ
Sep 19, 2026
16°C or below
$209 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$649 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$140 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$262 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$628 ปริมาณ
3%
21°C
$2,399 ปริมาณ
26%
22°C
$4,081 ปริมาณ
52%
23°C
$897 ปริมาณ
20%
24°C
$605 ปริมาณ
4%
25°C
$644 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C or higher
$208 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble model guidance position a 21–23°C maximum as the most probable outcome for London on September 19, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 22°C.** Southwesterly flow across the UK is advecting mild maritime air, while increasing cloud cover and a narrow band of light rain or drizzle during the afternoon are expected to limit further warming and cap the peak near or slightly below seasonal norms. Model runs show limited spread in the afternoon maximum, with GFS and UKMO guidance converging on highs of 21–23°C under mostly overcast skies and moderate winds. The primary near-term catalyst remains the next Met Office update and any late adjustments to the timing or intensity of the rain band, which could shift the realized high by 1–2°C depending on cloud breaks or clearance. Traders appear to be pricing the narrow consensus range rather than outlier scenarios.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,604วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble model guidance position a 21–23°C maximum as the most probable outcome for London on September 19, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 22°C.** Southwesterly flow across the UK is advecting mild maritime air, while increasing cloud cover and a narrow band of light rain or drizzle during the afternoon are expected to limit further warming and cap the peak near or slightly below seasonal norms. Model runs show limited spread in the afternoon maximum, with GFS and UKMO guidance converging on highs of 21–23°C under mostly overcast skies and moderate winds. The primary near-term catalyst remains the next Met Office update and any late adjustments to the timing or intensity of the rain band, which could shift the realized high by 1–2°C depending on cloud breaks or clearance. Traders appear to be pricing the narrow consensus range rather than outlier scenarios.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,604วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble model guidance position a 21–23°C maximum as the most probable outcome for London on September 19, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 22°C.** Southwesterly flow across the UK is advecting mild maritime air, while increasing cloud cover and a narrow band of light rain or drizzle during the afternoon are expected to limit further warming and cap the peak near or slightly below seasonal norms. Model runs show limited spread in the afternoon maximum, with GFS and UKMO guidance converging on highs of 21–23°C under mostly overcast skies and moderate winds. The primary near-term catalyst remains the next Met Office update and any late adjustments to the timing or intensity of the rain band, which could shift the realized high by 1–2°C depending on cloud breaks or clearance. Traders appear to be pricing the narrow consensus range rather than outlier scenarios.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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