Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with the China Meteorological Administration, indicate partly cloudy to clearing conditions over Qingdao on September 20, with daytime highs centered near 25–27°C under light southerly to northerly winds and moderate humidity. Ensemble spreads and subtle steering influences create modest uncertainty around the daily maximum, supporting market-implied odds clustered near 29–31°C while lower outcomes reflect the more probable baseline. Historical September averages near 24–26°C provide context, with no major synoptic systems expected to drive significant warming or cooling before resolution. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise peak.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Qingdao on September 20?
31°C 37%
30°C 22%
29°C 20%
28°C 14%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
6%
28°C
14%
29°C
20%
30°C
22%
31°C
37%
32°C or higher
<1%
31°C 37%
30°C 22%
29°C 20%
28°C 14%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
6%
28°C
14%
29°C
20%
30°C
22%
31°C
37%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 18, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with the China Meteorological Administration, indicate partly cloudy to clearing conditions over Qingdao on September 20, with daytime highs centered near 25–27°C under light southerly to northerly winds and moderate humidity. Ensemble spreads and subtle steering influences create modest uncertainty around the daily maximum, supporting market-implied odds clustered near 29–31°C while lower outcomes reflect the more probable baseline. Historical September averages near 24–26°C provide context, with no major synoptic systems expected to drive significant warming or cooling before resolution. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise peak.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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