Forecast model runs diverge on cloud cover, light rain potential, and boundary-layer moisture for Chengdu on September 20, producing a tight cluster of maximum-temperature outcomes between 24–28 °C that accounts for over 80 % of market-implied probability. Recent observations show persistent high humidity and scattered showers through mid-September, which have kept daily highs near or slightly below seasonal normals around 25 °C. Ensemble spreads reflect uncertainty in how quickly clearing occurs ahead of the autumn transition in the Sichuan basin, with some guidance favoring modest warming under partial sun while others maintain overcast suppression. Updated numerical weather predictions and observational data releases over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen the distribution ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 20?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 20?
26°C 24%
25°C 23%
24°C 20%
27°C 19%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 20, 2026
22°C or below
4%
23°C
18%
24°C
20%
25°C
23%
26°C
24%
27°C
19%
28°C
18%
29°C
18%
30°C
14%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 24%
25°C 23%
24°C 20%
27°C 19%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 20, 2026
22°C or below
$50 ปริมาณ
4%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
18%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
26°C
$2 ปริมาณ
24%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
18%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
18%
30°C
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
31°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
32°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast model runs diverge on cloud cover, light rain potential, and boundary-layer moisture for Chengdu on September 20, producing a tight cluster of maximum-temperature outcomes between 24–28 °C that accounts for over 80 % of market-implied probability. Recent observations show persistent high humidity and scattered showers through mid-September, which have kept daily highs near or slightly below seasonal normals around 25 °C. Ensemble spreads reflect uncertainty in how quickly clearing occurs ahead of the autumn transition in the Sichuan basin, with some guidance favoring modest warming under partial sun while others maintain overcast suppression. Updated numerical weather predictions and observational data releases over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$52วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast model runs diverge on cloud cover, light rain potential, and boundary-layer moisture for Chengdu on September 20, producing a tight cluster of maximum-temperature outcomes between 24–28 °C that accounts for over 80 % of market-implied probability. Recent observations show persistent high humidity and scattered showers through mid-September, which have kept daily highs near or slightly below seasonal normals around 25 °C. Ensemble spreads reflect uncertainty in how quickly clearing occurs ahead of the autumn transition in the Sichuan basin, with some guidance favoring modest warming under partial sun while others maintain overcast suppression. Updated numerical weather predictions and observational data releases over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$52วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast model runs diverge on cloud cover, light rain potential, and boundary-layer moisture for Chengdu on September 20, producing a tight cluster of maximum-temperature outcomes between 24–28 °C that accounts for over 80 % of market-implied probability. Recent observations show persistent high humidity and scattered showers through mid-September, which have kept daily highs near or slightly below seasonal normals around 25 °C. Ensemble spreads reflect uncertainty in how quickly clearing occurs ahead of the autumn transition in the Sichuan basin, with some guidance favoring modest warming under partial sun while others maintain overcast suppression. Updated numerical weather predictions and observational data releases over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen the distribution ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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