Ongoing Huaxi Qiuyu autumn rain patterns across southwest China, including Chengdu, are the main driver keeping trader-implied odds clustered around 23–26°C for the September 19 daily maximum. Persistent cloud cover, frequent light precipitation, and elevated humidity limit solar heating and suppress afternoon temperature peaks, consistent with official meteorological assessments that highs will generally remain below 28°C through late September. Seasonal cooling from early-month averages near 27–28°C adds downward pressure, while model differences in rainfall timing and any brief sunny breaks introduce the modest spread seen in the 22–27°C outcomes. Historical September data show typical highs declining toward 24°C by month-end, reinforcing the current market positioning ahead of updated short-range forecasts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 19?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 19?
28°C 36%
25°C 23%
23°C 22%
24°C 22%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 19, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
4%
22°C
3%
23°C
20%
24°C
22%
25°C
23%
26°C
21%
27°C
19%
28°C
36%
29°C
15%
30°C or higher
<1%
28°C 36%
25°C 23%
23°C 22%
24°C 22%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 19, 2026
20°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
23°C
$107 ปริมาณ
20%
24°C
$261 ปริมาณ
22%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
36%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
15%
30°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing Huaxi Qiuyu autumn rain patterns across southwest China, including Chengdu, are the main driver keeping trader-implied odds clustered around 23–26°C for the September 19 daily maximum. Persistent cloud cover, frequent light precipitation, and elevated humidity limit solar heating and suppress afternoon temperature peaks, consistent with official meteorological assessments that highs will generally remain below 28°C through late September. Seasonal cooling from early-month averages near 27–28°C adds downward pressure, while model differences in rainfall timing and any brief sunny breaks introduce the modest spread seen in the 22–27°C outcomes. Historical September data show typical highs declining toward 24°C by month-end, reinforcing the current market positioning ahead of updated short-range forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$357วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing Huaxi Qiuyu autumn rain patterns across southwest China, including Chengdu, are the main driver keeping trader-implied odds clustered around 23–26°C for the September 19 daily maximum. Persistent cloud cover, frequent light precipitation, and elevated humidity limit solar heating and suppress afternoon temperature peaks, consistent with official meteorological assessments that highs will generally remain below 28°C through late September. Seasonal cooling from early-month averages near 27–28°C adds downward pressure, while model differences in rainfall timing and any brief sunny breaks introduce the modest spread seen in the 22–27°C outcomes. Historical September data show typical highs declining toward 24°C by month-end, reinforcing the current market positioning ahead of updated short-range forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$357วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing Huaxi Qiuyu autumn rain patterns across southwest China, including Chengdu, are the main driver keeping trader-implied odds clustered around 23–26°C for the September 19 daily maximum. Persistent cloud cover, frequent light precipitation, and elevated humidity limit solar heating and suppress afternoon temperature peaks, consistent with official meteorological assessments that highs will generally remain below 28°C through late September. Seasonal cooling from early-month averages near 27–28°C adds downward pressure, while model differences in rainfall timing and any brief sunny breaks introduce the modest spread seen in the 22–27°C outcomes. Historical September data show typical highs declining toward 24°C by month-end, reinforcing the current market positioning ahead of updated short-range forecasts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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