**Recent model consensus points to a Tokyo high of 23–24 °C on September 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and a strengthening northerly flow.** Cooler, drier air advecting from higher latitudes under rising surface pressure (around 1018–1020 hPa) is expected to suppress daytime heating, while moderate northeast winds of 10–16 mph enhance mixing and limit boundary-layer warming. Forecast soundings show dew points falling into the mid-teens Celsius, reducing the potential for strong insolation even if partial clearing occurs in the afternoon. Historical mid-September climatology for Tokyo favors highs near 27 °C under clearer conditions, but the current synoptic pattern—marked by a passing frontal boundary—shifts probabilities firmly toward the 23–24 °C outcomes that dominate trader positioning. Updated runs from global and regional models will refine the exact peak as the event nears.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 17?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 17?
23°C 29%
24°C 28%
25°C 18%
21°C 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 17, 2026
19°C or below
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
16%
22°C
14%
23°C
29%
24°C
28%
25°C
18%
26°C
5%
27°C
4%
28°C
4%
29°C or higher
1%
23°C 29%
24°C 28%
25°C 18%
21°C 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 17, 2026
19°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
16%
22°C
$32 ปริมาณ
14%
23°C
$3 ปริมาณ
29%
24°C
$146 ปริมาณ
28%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
18%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
29°C or higher
$161 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent model consensus points to a Tokyo high of 23–24 °C on September 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and a strengthening northerly flow.**
Cooler, drier air advecting from higher latitudes under rising surface pressure (around 1018–1020 hPa) is expected to suppress daytime heating, while moderate northeast winds of 10–16 mph enhance mixing and limit boundary-layer warming. Forecast soundings show dew points falling into the mid-teens Celsius, reducing the potential for strong insolation even if partial clearing occurs in the afternoon. Historical mid-September climatology for Tokyo favors highs near 27 °C under clearer conditions, but the current synoptic pattern—marked by a passing frontal boundary—shifts probabilities firmly toward the 23–24 °C outcomes that dominate trader positioning. Updated runs from global and regional models will refine the exact peak as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$342วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent model consensus points to a Tokyo high of 23–24 °C on September 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and a strengthening northerly flow.**
Cooler, drier air advecting from higher latitudes under rising surface pressure (around 1018–1020 hPa) is expected to suppress daytime heating, while moderate northeast winds of 10–16 mph enhance mixing and limit boundary-layer warming. Forecast soundings show dew points falling into the mid-teens Celsius, reducing the potential for strong insolation even if partial clearing occurs in the afternoon. Historical mid-September climatology for Tokyo favors highs near 27 °C under clearer conditions, but the current synoptic pattern—marked by a passing frontal boundary—shifts probabilities firmly toward the 23–24 °C outcomes that dominate trader positioning. Updated runs from global and regional models will refine the exact peak as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$342วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Recent model consensus points to a Tokyo high of 23–24 °C on September 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and a strengthening northerly flow.** Cooler, drier air advecting from higher latitudes under rising surface pressure (around 1018–1020 hPa) is expected to suppress daytime heating, while moderate northeast winds of 10–16 mph enhance mixing and limit boundary-layer warming. Forecast soundings show dew points falling into the mid-teens Celsius, reducing the potential for strong insolation even if partial clearing occurs in the afternoon. Historical mid-September climatology for Tokyo favors highs near 27 °C under clearer conditions, but the current synoptic pattern—marked by a passing frontal boundary—shifts probabilities firmly toward the 23–24 °C outcomes that dominate trader positioning. Updated runs from global and regional models will refine the exact peak as the event nears.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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